Play criteria are the same as they have been all year. We do not consider situational factors, motivation, lame duck coaches, etc. Lines are based purely off our power ratings, adjusted for QB injuries and pace of play. Lines are Vegas Insider consensus as of 11:00am PST on Thursday, December 18. Big Plays (16-11-1…
Week 15 Recap We continued our late-season swoon with another subpar performance. Our Big Plays went 0-3, their worst mark of the season so far. They drop to a barely-profitable 52.5% on the season. Baltimore (-14) came out very flat, and struggled just to beat the Jaguars outright, never threatening the cover. Miami (+7.5) had a field…
Week 14 Recap: Our week got off to a bad start when Chicago (+4) was steamrolled by Dallas on Thursday. I don’t know what’s going on with Chicago, but they should not be playing this badly. We rebounded in the early time slot on Sunday, with Carolina (+10) dominating New Orleans, winning 41-10. Our lone Big Play, Kansas…
We ended the “regular” season on a good note, winning our one official play (Louisiana Tech +11), and going 2-0 on our leans. Since we won’t post bowl game picks until next week, I figured I’d fill this space with a summary of our season. It’s been a very good year. Overall our record on official…
Week 13 Recap: Not a good week for our picks. Our official plays end only one game under .500 at 3-4, but it felt worse. And our Break-Even or Better recommendations continue their remarkably horrid season by going 0-2. Let’s start with the Big Plays (2-3)…Our week looked to be off to a good start when Chicago…
Week 14 Recap: The penultimate week of the football season had the week’s biggest slate of games, but very little betting value, as we posted only three official plays. Our Big Plays went 2-0 on the strength of big second halves. Indiana (-2.5) came back from a 6-point halftime deficit to win by a touchdown and Arkansas State (-22.5)…
Ohio State -19.1 vs. Michigan Boston College -11.4 vs. Syracuse Duke -20.9 vs. Wake Forest Tennessee -14.6 at Vanderbilt Wisconsin -14.5 vs. Minnesota Miami (FL) -9.2 vs. Pittsburgh Maryland -10.1 vs. Rutgers Louisiana Tech -9.3 vs. Rice North Carolina -11.0 vs. N.C. State Northwestern -7.2 vs. Illinois Indiana -11.6 vs. Purdue Texas State -11.4 at…
Week 12 Recap: Excellent weekend for MP picks, with our official plays going a perfect 4-0. Miami (+7) was up 11 in the fourth quarter and looking like an easy winner before three Denver touchdowns (the last on an interception returned inside the 5). But Miami bailed us out, driving down the field for a late touchdown…
Week 13 Recap: Last week was the week of the “U”- acronyms. We had picks on UTSA, UCLA, UNLV, and a lean on UTEP. Our official plays–all Other Plays–went 2-1. UTSA (+9.5) was blown out 45-7 by Western Kentucky, a team we’ve been fading unsuccessfully the past few weeks. UCLA (-3.5) won convincingly over crosstown rival USC,…
Virginia Tech -15 at Wake Forest Miami (FL) -7.3 at Virginia Tennessee -0.9 vs. Missouri South Carolina -24.4 vs. South Alabama Ball State -16.8 vs. Eastern Michigan Michigan State -20.3 vs. Rutgers Nebraska -7.1 vs. Minnesota Mississippi State -30.2 vs. Vanderbilt Ohio State -34.2 vs. Indiana Michigan -8.2 vs. Maryland Oklahoma -24.8 vs. Kansas Pittsburgh…