Rufus Peabody is a sports analyst and professional sports bettor, currently traveling the world on Remote Year. He is a 2008 graduate of Yale University, where he wrote his senior thesis on inefficiencies in the baseball betting market. Mr. Peabody was previously ESPN's 'predictive analytics expert' and many, many years ago got his start in the industry working as a statistical analyst for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

NFL Week 16 Picks

Week 15 Recap We continued our late-season swoon with another subpar performance. Our Big Plays went 0-3, their worst mark of the season so far. They drop to a barely-profitable 52.5% on the season. Baltimore (-14) came out very flat, and struggled just to beat the Jaguars outright, never threatening the cover. Miami (+7.5) had a field…

NFL Week 15 Picks

Week 14 Recap: Our week got off to a bad start when Chicago (+4) was steamrolled by Dallas on Thursday. I don’t know what’s going on with Chicago, but they should not be playing this badly. We rebounded in the early time slot on Sunday, with Carolina (+10) dominating New Orleans, winning 41-10. Our lone Big Play, Kansas…

NFL Week 14 Picks

Week 13 Recap: Not a good week for our picks. Our official plays end only one game under .500 at 3-4, but it felt worse. And our Break-Even or Better recommendations continue their remarkably horrid season by going 0-2. Let’s start with the Big Plays (2-3)…Our week looked to be off to a good start when Chicago…

College Football Week 15 Picks

Week 14 Recap: The penultimate week of the football season had the week’s biggest slate of games, but very little betting value, as we posted only three official plays. Our Big Plays went 2-0 on the strength of big second halves. Indiana (-2.5) came back from a 6-point halftime deficit to win by a touchdown and Arkansas State (-22.5)…

NCAA Week 14 Lines

Ohio State -19.1 vs. Michigan Boston College -11.4 vs. Syracuse Duke -20.9 vs. Wake Forest Tennessee -14.6 at Vanderbilt Wisconsin -14.5 vs. Minnesota Miami (FL) -9.2 vs. Pittsburgh Maryland -10.1 vs. Rutgers Louisiana Tech -9.3 vs. Rice North Carolina -11.0 vs. N.C. State Northwestern -7.2 vs. Illinois Indiana -11.6 vs. Purdue Texas State -11.4 at…

NFL Week 13 Picks

Week 12 Recap: Excellent weekend for MP picks, with our official plays going a perfect 4-0. Miami (+7) was up 11 in the fourth quarter and looking like an easy winner before three Denver touchdowns (the last on an interception returned inside the 5). But Miami bailed us out, driving down the field for a late touchdown…

College Football Week 14 Picks

Week 13 Recap: Last week was the week of the “U”- acronyms. We had picks on UTSA, UCLA, UNLV, and a lean on UTEP. Our official plays–all Other Plays–went 2-1. UTSA (+9.5) was blown out 45-7 by Western Kentucky, a team we’ve been fading unsuccessfully the past few weeks. UCLA (-3.5) won convincingly over crosstown rival USC,…

NCAA Week 13 Lines

Virginia Tech -15 at Wake Forest Miami (FL) -7.3 at Virginia Tennessee -0.9 vs. Missouri South Carolina -24.4 vs. South Alabama Ball State -16.8 vs. Eastern Michigan Michigan State -20.3 vs. Rutgers Nebraska -7.1 vs. Minnesota Mississippi State -30.2 vs. Vanderbilt Ohio State -34.2 vs. Indiana Michigan -8.2 vs. Maryland Oklahoma -24.8 vs. Kansas Pittsburgh…

NFL Week 12 Picks

Week 11 Recap: Week 11 was tough on a number of levels. We finished with a 1-2 record on official plays, and a 1-1 record on Break-Even or Better selections. That doesn’t tell the full story though. We whiffed pretty badly on the Washington (-7) pick, as the dysfunctional Dead Skins lost to Tampa Bay at home…