Rufus Peabody is a sports analyst and professional sports bettor, currently traveling the world on Remote Year. He is a 2008 graduate of Yale University, where he wrote his senior thesis on inefficiencies in the baseball betting market. Mr. Peabody was previously ESPN's 'predictive analytics expert' and many, many years ago got his start in the industry working as a statistical analyst for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

College Football Week 13 Picks

Week 12 Recap Last weekend’s results were disappointing, with our official plays going 3-5. Our Big Plays split, with LSU (+2) looking awful offensively in a shutout loss at Arkansas. Maybe it was a letdown game after the ‘Bama loss. For whatever reason, they did not play like the LSU team we had been seeing this season. Hawaii (+10.5)…

NCAA Week 13/NFL Week 12 Early Lines

Here are our lines for the Wednesday and Thursday games: Wednesday Buffalo -9.1 vs. Kent State Toledo -12.5 vs. Bowling Green Thursday Kansas State -1.0 at West Virginia Duke -8.5 vs. North Carolina Arkansas State -6.5 at Texas State NFL: Kansas City -10.0 at Oakland Picks: No “official” picks for any of the games, but…

College Football Week 12 Lines

Here’s the full list of Massey-Peabody lines for the weekend’s games: North Carolina -3.8 vs. Pittsburgh N.C. State -12.9 vs. Wake Forest Penn State -9.5 vs. Temple Ohio State -16.4 at Minnesota Iowa -3.0 at Illinois Western Kentucky -6.0 vs. Army Western Michigan -23.6 vs. Eastern Michigan Wisconsin -6.9 vs. Nebraska Tennessee -12.5 vs. Kentucky…

NFL Week 11 Picks

Week 10 Recap: Excellent week for our picks last week, going 3-1. Our one loss was Miami (+2.5/+3), which fell victim to a go-ahead Detroit touchdown in the final minute. Atlanta (-2.5) was a 27-17 winner over Tampa Bay as our second Big Play. For our Other Plays, Baltimore (-9.5) fell behind early, but ended up winning by…

College Football Week 12 Picks

Week 11 Recap: Coming off of a solid Week 11. We split our Big Plays: Florida State (-19.5) started slow (again) and failed to cover, while Texas (+3.5) was dominant in a 17-point win over favorite West Virginia. Our Other Plays did much better, going 3-1. Indiana (+6.5) turned the ball over deep in their own territory in the last…

NCAA Week 12/NFL Week 11 Early Plays

I’ll save the recap for when I blog the full lineup of picks tomorrow. Here are our picks/lines for the weekday games:   NFL Other Plays (7-4 YTD) Miami -5 vs. Buffalo [MP Line: MIA -8.3]   College Football Other Plays (24-15 YTD) Ball State +4 at Akron Massachusetts [MP Line: Ball St +0.1] UCF -20 vs.…

CFB Week 11 Lines

Figured I’d post a full set of lines, for anyone who’s interested. I’m including all Week 11 games, including those that have been played and those that have already started. Akron -3 vs. Bowling Green Toledo -10.9 at Kent State Ohio -1.9 vs. Buffalo Northern Illinois -4.6 at Ball State Clemson -23.5 at Wake Forest…

Week 10 NFL Picks

Week 9 Recap: A small-volume, losing week in the NFL last week (1-2). We were on the right side of one of the two blowouts, and on the wrong side of the one close game. Miami (-1.5) surprised everyone in how thoroughly they dominated the San Diego, winning 37-0. As much as I’d like to say ‘yeah, we…

College Football Week 11 Picks

Week 10 Recap: We dropped both of our plays last week, in our lowest volume week of the year. Fresno State (-12.5), our Big Play, was blown out by a Wyoming team that we rated as one of the worst in the country. Fresno wasn’t just unlucky either; they drop 10 spots to #86 in the…

NFL Week 9 Picks

Week 8 Recap: A solid week, going 2-1 on our official plays last week. And finally we managed to win some Break-Even or Better plays, going 2-0 on those. Baltimore (Pk) lost a heartbreaker at Cincinnati. Baltimore rallied from an 11-point second-half deficit to take the lead, only for Cincy to answer with a late TD. Still, it seemed…