Rufus Peabody is a sports analyst and professional sports bettor, currently traveling the world on Remote Year. He is a 2008 graduate of Yale University, where he wrote his senior thesis on inefficiencies in the baseball betting market. Mr. Peabody was previously ESPN's 'predictive analytics expert' and many, many years ago got his start in the industry working as a statistical analyst for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

College Football Week 3 Picks

Week 2 was a bit of a down week for our picks. Iowa State (+12), our only Big Play, was our lone bright spot, leading Kansas State most of the game before yielding two late touchdowns to lose 32-28. Nevertheless, the Cyclones covered the spread comfortably. Tennessee (-16), our first Other Play, failed to cover by a mere one…

NFL Week 2 Picks

Week 1 felt like a grind, despite two of our three Big Plays winning. That can happen when your rating system takes a huge stand on the Cowboys (+4.5), as ours did, and looks completely foolish as the Cowboys get blown out. And guess what? We still think the Cowboys are a good team. As ugly as Dallas looked, we have to…

College Football Week 2 Picks

Excellent start to the season, with a 4-0 record on our official plays. We did lose our lean on Baylor, but still very happy with our Week 1 performance. Not only did all four official picks cover, but they all won outright as underdogs of more than a touchdown! A $100 parlay of all four plays…

NFL Week 1 Picks

Before we get into the week’s picks, let’s quickly review our performance last season. Last season was an historically good year for Massey-Peabody NFL picks. Our records, by pick type: Big Plays: 17-10-1 Other Plays: 34-20 Break-Even or Better (leans): 19-17-3 Our official plays (leans not included) finished 51-30-1 (62.96%!). Including the leans, that still is 70-47-4 (59.82%).…

College Football Week 1 Picks

Before we get into the picks, let’s take a look back at our performance during the 2013 season, our first foray into college football. Big Plays: 25-14 Other Plays: 27-38-1 MP Leans: 24-25 Not a very good year by any means, but that’s how it goes sometimes. Variance can be both good and bad. We struggled…

Welcome to the 2014 Football Season!

After an eventful “offseason” (I’m not sure either Cade or I understand the concept of downtime), football is finally back! In the last six months, Cade got himself hitched to a wonderful woman, while I took advantage of my lack of commitment and backpacked for 10 weeks in southeast Asia, all while keeping up with my work. This will…

NFL Divisional Playoff Picks

That was a pretty freaking awesome weekend of football! As a Chiefs moneyline backer, Saturday afternoon was a little less pleasant, but still, there was not a single boring game the entire weekend. The good news: Massey-Peabody leaned to the correct side in each game (well, there was no correct side in GB/SF as it…

NFL Playoffs: Wild Card Picks

Happy New Year from Cade and me! It’s been an excellent year personally and professionally for both of us. We made improvements to our NFL model and had our best regular season yet, and we recovered from a dreadful start to finish above .500 in our first year of college football picks (with an excellent record…

NFL Week 17 Picks

Merry Christmas everybody! Heading into the final week of the season, our picks appear poised for another profitable year. Last week was another strong week, with our Big Plays going 1-1, our Other Plays 1-0, and Break-Even or Better selections 2-1. In terms of line move value, both Big Plays did not move. Our Falcons pick moved 2.5 points…