Rufus Peabody is a sports analyst and professional sports bettor, currently traveling the world on Remote Year. He is a 2008 graduate of Yale University, where he wrote his senior thesis on inefficiencies in the baseball betting market. Mr. Peabody was previously ESPN's 'predictive analytics expert' and many, many years ago got his start in the industry working as a statistical analyst for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

College Football Week 5 Picks

Now that was the weekend we’ve been waiting for. Most of the credit goes to positive variance, but a 4-1 week is still satisfying. And on top of that, our two leans both won as well. We’ll start the recap of last week’s plays with our one Big Play. Vanderbilt looked completely out of sorts in their first three games, but due to…

NFL Week 3 Picks

Apologies for the website issues causing delays for this week’s picks. An excellent Week 2 for our picks, as for the second week in a row underdogs performed very well, and we happened to pick entirely underdogs! Our Big Plays went 2-1 for the second straight week, punctuated by a San Diego (+6) surprise win over Seattle. The Jets (+8)…

College Football Week 4 Picks

Apologies for not having picks posted sooner this week. We had a server issue, but it looks like things are better now. Unfortunately, we followed up a losing Week 2 with another losing week. Our Other Plays went 1-2, while our unofficial MP Leans went 0-2. The good news is that our picks had good value relative to the…

College Football Week 3 Picks

Week 2 was a bit of a down week for our picks. Iowa State (+12), our only Big Play, was our lone bright spot, leading Kansas State most of the game before yielding two late touchdowns to lose 32-28. Nevertheless, the Cyclones covered the spread comfortably. Tennessee (-16), our first Other Play, failed to cover by a mere one…

NFL Week 2 Picks

Week 1 felt like a grind, despite two of our three Big Plays winning. That can happen when your rating system takes a huge stand on the Cowboys (+4.5), as ours did, and looks completely foolish as the Cowboys get blown out. And guess what? We still think the Cowboys are a good team. As ugly as Dallas looked, we have to…

College Football Week 2 Picks

Excellent start to the season, with a 4-0 record on our official plays. We did lose our lean on Baylor, but still very happy with our Week 1 performance. Not only did all four official picks cover, but they all won outright as underdogs of more than a touchdown! A $100 parlay of all four plays…

NFL Week 1 Picks

Before we get into the week’s picks, let’s quickly review our performance last season. Last season was an historically good year for Massey-Peabody NFL picks. Our records, by pick type: Big Plays: 17-10-1 Other Plays: 34-20 Break-Even or Better (leans): 19-17-3 Our official plays (leans not included) finished 51-30-1 (62.96%!). Including the leans, that still is 70-47-4 (59.82%).…

College Football Week 1 Picks

Before we get into the picks, let’s take a look back at our performance during the 2013 season, our first foray into college football. Big Plays: 25-14 Other Plays: 27-38-1 MP Leans: 24-25 Not a very good year by any means, but that’s how it goes sometimes. Variance can be both good and bad. We struggled…

Welcome to the 2014 Football Season!

After an eventful “offseason” (I’m not sure either Cade or I understand the concept of downtime), football is finally back! In the last six months, Cade got himself hitched to a wonderful woman, while I took advantage of my lack of commitment and backpacked for 10 weeks in southeast Asia, all while keeping up with my work. This will…