Rufus Peabody is a sports analyst and professional sports bettor, currently traveling the world on Remote Year. He is a 2008 graduate of Yale University, where he wrote his senior thesis on inefficiencies in the baseball betting market. Mr. Peabody was previously ESPN's 'predictive analytics expert' and many, many years ago got his start in the industry working as a statistical analyst for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

2016 NFL Week 12 Picks

Posting picks early this week, due to Thanksgiving. Went 1-0 on our official plays last week, 0-2 on our leans. Huge volume of picks this week; would have been even better value had I posted yesterday! Lines are QB-specific, with Tolzien starting for Indy, Fitzpatrick for the Jets, and Barkley for Chicago.   Big Plays (4-6-1 YTD)…

2016 NFL Week 11 Picks

The challenge of posting picks at one time in the week is that lines move around, and sometimes value will pop up on Sunday morning. Last week’s results weren’t good if you just look at the picks we posted (1-2 on official plays, 2-0 on leans), but that doesn’t tell the entire story. Carolina looked to…

2016 NFL Week 10 Picks

Not much to recap from last week (except my trip to Ecuador, which I won’t bore you with here). Our one and only play of the week (San Francisco) was blown out by New Orleans. I wrote a piece for ESPN this week with betting-related takeaways from the first half of the season. It’s been a…

2016 NFL Week 9 Picks

A solid week for our official plays last week, with both of our Big Plays winning and our Other Plays going 1-1. Unfortunately, all three of our leans lost. Didn’t get to watch any of the games, as I’m on a mindfulness retreat (with 25 of my new best friends!) in Ecuador, but I’m still running the…

2016 NFL Week 8 Picks

Last week was basically a wash, with our Big Plays going 1-1-1 (2-1 if you were able to get the Saints at +6.5 instead of +6), Other Plays 1-1, and both leans won. Here’s what we have for this week:   Big Plays: (2-4-1 YTD) Tennessee -3 +100 vs. Jacksonville [MP Line: TEN -5.6] Green Bay +3 at Atlanta [MP…

2016 NFL Week 7 Picks

We won our only Big Play of the week last week, with San Diego winning outright against Denver. We split our Other Plays, as Miami won outright as a touchdown dog, the Jets were blown out in the desert, and Indianapolis blew a double-digit fourth quarter lead and lost in overtime, giving us a push. And unfortunately, both of…

2016 NFL Week 6 Picks

Big Plays (1-3 YTD) none this weekend Other Plays (3-5-1 YTD) Miami +7/+7.5 vs. Pittsburgh [MP Line: MIA +5.4] Indianapolis +3 at Houston [MP Line: IND +0.6] New York Jets +7.5 at Arizona [MP Line: NYJ +5.6] Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (3-4 YTD) Seattle -6.5 vs. Atlanta [MP Line: SEA -8.8] Green Bay -4…

2016 Massey-Peabody Week 6 TNF Pick

Wanted to post this pick early, since we actually have a play on the Thursday night game. I’ll get around to posting last week’s college football and NFL grades shortly, but I’m in Vegas moving condos this week, so things are a little hectic for me. Will have the rest of the game picks posted this…

2016 NFL Week 5 Picks

We continued our losing ways last week, going 0-2 on our official plays, with neither coming close to covering. We drop to 2-8 on official plays on the young season (and 2-4 on leans). Still, even if your baseline expectation is 55%, you’re going to have some stretches like this one. If there was a guaranteed profit every week, it…