Week 10 Recap: Excellent week for our picks last week, going 3-1. Our one loss was Miami (+2.5/+3), which fell victim to a go-ahead Detroit touchdown in the final minute. Atlanta (-2.5) was a 27-17 winner over Tampa Bay as our second Big Play. For our Other Plays, Baltimore (-9.5) fell behind early, but ended up winning by…
Week 9 Recap: A small-volume, losing week in the NFL last week (1-2). We were on the right side of one of the two blowouts, and on the wrong side of the one close game. Miami (-1.5) surprised everyone in how thoroughly they dominated the San Diego, winning 37-0. As much as I’d like to say ‘yeah, we…
Week 8 Recap: A solid week, going 2-1 on our official plays last week. And finally we managed to win some Break-Even or Better plays, going 2-0 on those. Baltimore (Pk) lost a heartbreaker at Cincinnati. Baltimore rallied from an 11-point second-half deficit to take the lead, only for Cincy to answer with a late TD. Still, it seemed…
Sorry to say that we’ll be pushing picks back to Thursday mornings. The good news and bad news is that publishing our picks appears to be having an impact on the market. I know that posting picks later means there may be less value, but I don’t have much of a choice in the matter, as I can’t justify compromising my…
Week 6 Recap: Only had one official play last week, a Big Play on Miami, which either won or pushed depending on what line you got. That will get graded as half a win and half a push (per what I wrote last week). If you got it at +3 that is certainly a tough break,…
Week 5 Recap: Only two official plays last week, which split. Buffalo (+7) capitalized on Detroit’s kicking woes for a 17-14 comeback win; Dallas (-6) won in overtime, but failed to cover. Our Break Even or Better plays also went 1-1. Kansas City (+6) got the cover, losing 22-17. The line closed at KC +4.5, which goes…
Week 4 Recap: Week 4 was light on official plays, but had five games that made our unofficial Break-Even or Better listing. Our Big Plays went 1-1. The New York Giants (+4) benefitted from a third-quarter Kirk Cousins clinic on how not to be an NFL quarterback and embarrassed my Redskins 45-14. The Bears (+1.5) could not figure…
A happy recap this week, as our official plays went 3-0. We had two big plays on NFC (L)east teams. The first was Dallas (-1.5) on the road against a St. Louis squad starting some guy named Austin Davis. Massey-Peabody is the only rating system I know of that was bullish on the Cowboys going into the season. And…
Apologies for the website issues causing delays for this week’s picks. An excellent Week 2 for our picks, as for the second week in a row underdogs performed very well, and we happened to pick entirely underdogs! Our Big Plays went 2-1 for the second straight week, punctuated by a San Diego (+6) surprise win over Seattle. The Jets (+8)…
Week 1 felt like a grind, despite two of our three Big Plays winning. That can happen when your rating system takes a huge stand on the Cowboys (+4.5), as ours did, and looks completely foolish as the Cowboys get blown out. And guess what? We still think the Cowboys are a good team. As ugly as Dallas looked, we have to…