NFL Super Bowl Pick

Midweek Rufus woke-up from his props-induced coma and drug himself out for two computer-free days of golf/rehab. He’s back in full obsession mode now, but in-between he called just long enough to drop a few numbers and wave toward the blog before running off to new hunting grounds. So, fresh from the front lines of…

NFL Conference Championship Picks

Divisional Recap We did not have an official play last week, but did have Carolina (+10.5) at a Break-Even or Better selection. After playing the first three quarters close, the Panthers fell by 14.   Divisional Closing Line Value *Carolina: picked +10.5, closed +13.5, CLV -3.0   Conference Championship Picks Play criteria remain the same: Big Plays…

NFL Divisional Round Picks

Wild Card Recap: We didn’t have any official plays on last weekend’s action. However, we did have three Break-Even or Better selections, which fared well, going 2-1. Baltimore (+3) won outright in Pittsburgh, Indianapolis (-3/-3.5) blew out Cincinnati, and Dallas (-6.5) came from behind in the second half to win, but failed to cover.   Wild…

Correction on NFL Records

It was brought to my attention that a loss from Week 9 was not included in our W/L record for Big Plays. I went through week-by-week to make sure everything was correct in our records and found that, indeed, a Week 9 loss was omitted from our record in the subsequent weeks. After adding that loss,…

NFL Wild Card Picks

Week 17 Recap: Despite a brutal loss with St. Louis (+12.5) fumbling away a 6-point halftime lead, we still managed to end the regular season on a positive note, going 4-2. Our only other loss was Miami (-6) losing outright to the Jets. Our winners were Kansas City (-3), Philadelphia (+2.5/+3), and Denver (-14) in Big Plays…

NFL Week 17 Picks

Week 16 Recap Merry Christmas! Our late-season slide continued last week, with our official plays going 3-4. Our Big Plays took the hit, going 1-3 and dropping our YTD record to below 50% for the first time this season (49.3%). Tennessee (+3.5) blew a 10-point first half lead and lost by 8; Chicago (+9) almost won outright, giving us…

NFL Week 16 Picks

Week 15 Recap We continued our late-season swoon with another subpar performance. Our Big Plays went 0-3, their worst mark of the season so far. They drop to a barely-profitable 52.5% on the season. Baltimore (-14) came out very flat, and struggled just to beat the Jaguars outright, never threatening the cover. Miami (+7.5) had a field…

NFL Week 15 Picks

Week 14 Recap: Our week got off to a bad start when Chicago (+4) was steamrolled by Dallas on Thursday. I don’t know what’s going on with Chicago, but they should not be playing this badly. We rebounded in the early time slot on Sunday, with Carolina (+10) dominating New Orleans, winning 41-10. Our lone Big Play, Kansas…

NFL Week 14 Picks

Week 13 Recap: Not a good week for our picks. Our official plays end only one game under .500 at 3-4, but it felt worse. And our Break-Even or Better recommendations continue their remarkably horrid season by going 0-2. Let’s start with the Big Plays (2-3)…Our week looked to be off to a good start when Chicago…

NFL Week 13 Picks

Week 12 Recap: Excellent weekend for MP picks, with our official plays going a perfect 4-0. Miami (+7) was up 11 in the fourth quarter and looking like an easy winner before three Denver touchdowns (the last on an interception returned inside the 5). But Miami bailed us out, driving down the field for a late touchdown…