A happy recap this week, as our official plays went 3-0. We had two big plays on NFC (L)east teams. The first was Dallas (-1.5) on the road against a St. Louis squad starting some guy named Austin Davis. Massey-Peabody is the only rating system I know of that was bullish on the Cowboys going into the season. And…
I was asked a number of times last week about Arizona’s drop from a solidly above-average team to a subpar one. The answer to that, and many more of life’s mysteries, lies in how we treat quarterbacks. Not only do we rate each team’s offense and defense, we (attempt) to separate QB performance from offensive performance using some fancy-dancy…
Apologies for the website issues causing delays for this week’s picks. An excellent Week 2 for our picks, as for the second week in a row underdogs performed very well, and we happened to pick entirely underdogs! Our Big Plays went 2-1 for the second straight week, punctuated by a San Diego (+6) surprise win over Seattle. The Jets (+8)…
Week 1 felt like a grind, despite two of our three Big Plays winning. That can happen when your rating system takes a huge stand on the Cowboys (+4.5), as ours did, and looks completely foolish as the Cowboys get blown out. And guess what? We still think the Cowboys are a good team. As ugly as Dallas looked, we have to…
Before we get into the week’s picks, let’s quickly review our performance last season. Last season was an historically good year for Massey-Peabody NFL picks. Our records, by pick type: Big Plays: 17-10-1 Other Plays: 34-20 Break-Even or Better (leans): 19-17-3 Our official plays (leans not included) finished 51-30-1 (62.96%!). Including the leans, that still is 70-47-4 (59.82%).…
After an eventful “offseason” (I’m not sure either Cade or I understand the concept of downtime), football is finally back! In the last six months, Cade got himself hitched to a wonderful woman, while I took advantage of my lack of commitment and backpacked for 10 weeks in southeast Asia, all while keeping up with my work. This will…
I apologize for the delay in blogging the picks this week. I’ve been driving cross-country the last few days and am just now getting back to normalcy. Last weekend was disappointing, as the Panthers, our big play, let us down. Anyone following my twitter during the game saw that I was more than a little…
That was a pretty freaking awesome weekend of football! As a Chiefs moneyline backer, Saturday afternoon was a little less pleasant, but still, there was not a single boring game the entire weekend. The good news: Massey-Peabody leaned to the correct side in each game (well, there was no correct side in GB/SF as it…
Happy New Year from Cade and me! It’s been an excellent year personally and professionally for both of us. We made improvements to our NFL model and had our best regular season yet, and we recovered from a dreadful start to finish above .500 in our first year of college football picks (with an excellent record…
Merry Christmas everybody! Heading into the final week of the season, our picks appear poised for another profitable year. Last week was another strong week, with our Big Plays going 1-1, our Other Plays 1-0, and Break-Even or Better selections 2-1. In terms of line move value, both Big Plays did not move. Our Falcons pick moved 2.5 points…