NFL Week 17 Picks

Merry Christmas everybody! Heading into the final week of the season, our picks appear poised for another profitable year. Last week was another strong week, with our Big Plays going 1-1, our Other Plays 1-0, and Break-Even or Better selections 2-1. In terms of line move value, both Big Plays did not move. Our Falcons pick moved 2.5 points…

NFL Week 16 Picks

Won our two “official” plays last week, lost both of our BEOB picks (one unfortunately pushed at the closing line). Sorry for the delay in getting the ratings updated this week. I run the code and send the ratings to Cade, who normally puts together the graphics, but Cade is traveling to Argentina this week and…

NFL Week 15 Picks

Had a little bump in the road last week, going 2-3 overall (1-0 on Big Plays, 1-3 on Other Plays). This week we have a very small slate of games we like. As has been the case in previous years, the differences between how we value teams and how the market values them gets smaller later in…

NFL Week 14 Picks

We had another profitable week in the NFL, with our two official plays both winning and our leans going 2-2. For the season, we’re now at 61.54% for our “official” plays and 60.23% if you include our Break-Even or Better (which we expect to win at a 52.5%-54% clip). Lines are widely available as of 12:50pm EST…

NFL Week 13 Picks

Coming off of an excellent weekend! Went up to New Haven for the Yale/Harvard game, and then watched the Massey-Peabody picks nearly go undefeated. (Naturally, it was my Redskins that kept us from perfection.) Overall, M-P picks went 7-1 on the weekend, including 3-0 on our Big Plays. The market generally agreed with our numbers, as…

NFL Week 12 Picks

We had a decent performance last week, going 0-1 on Big Plays, 2-0 on Other Plays, and 1-1-1 on Break-Even or Better selections. There was a lot of line movement on games we picked: Green Bay, our big selection, moved from +6 all the way to +3, Arizona moved from -6.5 to -9.5, and Carolina moved from -2.5…

NFL Week 10 Picks

Caught a bit of a break with Indy’s epic comeback, enabling us to salvage a split (1-1) on our¬†Other Plays. But we were pretty unlucky in the Buffalo/KC game. Despite out-gaining KC 470-210 (6.1-3.9 in yards/play), Buffalo managed to lose by 10. Having Jeff Tuel starting instead of Thad Lewis certainly didn’t help our cause…

NFL Week 9 Picks

Another solid week for our NFL picks, and would’ve been even better if not for my brain fart with Jacksonville playing in London (and not at home). Still, Big Plays went 2-1, Other Plays went 2-1, and our one Break-Even or Better pick won. For the year, we are now 27-18-1 (60%) on our picks, and 32-22-1…

NFL Week 8 Picks

A very big weekend for Massey-Peabody NFL picks in Week 7.  Our lone Big Play, won handily.  Our Other Plays swept, going 5-0, with both the Jets and Colts winning outright as underdogs, and Houston losing by one point.  Our new category, Break-Even or Better–picks we expect will (barely) cover the vig, but are not strong enough for us…