NFL Week 17 Picks

Week 17 always feels a little different. It’s not unusual for a team to have nothing to play for in the latter weeks of the season–except of course for their jobs, which is a pretty powerful incentive. But that’s been the case for some teams for awhile now. What’s difficult is figuring out the motivations of teams…

NFL Week 16 Picks

Got back on the winning track last week, winning our Big Play and both Other Plays. The Dolphins had other ideas with our lean. Here’s what we got for this week:   Big Plays (17-11-1 YTD) Baltimore +10 vs. Pittsburgh [MP Line: BAL +5.9] Cincinnati +3.5 at Denver [MP Line: CIN +0.1] Miami -1.5 vs. Indianapolis [MP…

NFL Week 15 Picks

In a bit of a reversal of fortunes, our Week 14 Big Plays did poorly (1-3) while our Other Plays went 2-0. Big Plays (16-11-1 YTD) Cincinnati -4.5 at San Francisco [MP Line: CIN -9.7] Other Plays (12-17 YTD) New England -14 vs. Tennessee [MP Line: NE -17.3] Detroit +3 at New Orleans [MP Line: DET +0.6] MP…

NFL Week 14 Picks

Bounced back a little in Week 13, with our Big Plays going 2-1 while our Other Plays went 1-1. Our lone lean lost.   Big Plays (15-8-1 YTD) Cincinnati -2.5 vs. Pittsburgh [MP Line: CIN -6.1] New England -3/-3.5 at Houston [MP Line: NE -8.3] Baltimore +10 vs. Seattle [MP Line: BAL +6.0*] *assumes Schaub starting Miami +1 vs. New…

NFL Week 13 Picks

We had our worst week of picks last week, with all three of our Big Plays losing–New England in painful fashion. Our Other Plays didn’t fare much better, going 1-2 as well.   Big Plays (13-7-1 YTD) Chicago -7 vs. San Francisco [MP Line: CHI -11.2] Buffalo -3 vs. Houston [MP Line: BUF -6.7] Seattle Pk at Minnesota [MP…

NFL Week 12 Picks

Happy Thanksgiving everyone! I’m thankful for another good week of picks last week, with two of our Big Plays winning and our other resulting in a lose/push. I’m short on time this week, so let’s get right to the picks:   Big Plays (13-4-1 YTD) New Orleans +3 at Houston [MP Line: NO -2] Arizona -10/-10.5 at…

NFL Week 11 Picks

Last weekend was basically a wash, with Miami (+6.5), one of our largest edges this season, winning outright. Our Other Plays were less successful, going 1-2, while our MP Lean on Arizona also was a winner. This week is a little unusual in that we like a bunch of favorites. Lines are consensus as of 1:45pm Vegas time.  …

NFL Week 10 Picks

The NFL season is more than halfway complete, and it’s been a pretty bizarre one (though I feel like every season is bizarre in its own ways). While our strongest plays have performed admirably, our performance is still lagging overall, but in a short season with only a handful of picks per week, variance is…

NFL Week 9 Picks

It was a down week for our picks in Week 8, headlined by our Big Plays having a winless week. Chicago blew a 7-point lead late in the fourth quarter to lose by three, and Baltimore won in overtime, meaning Ravens backers either lost or pushed depending on what price they got. Other Plays were also losers, going…