I am in a rush so no write-up this week. But for those of you losing faith, remember that we’re still a documented 55.04% since 2011, even including this year’s horror. Here are the picks. Big Plays (7-15-2 YTD) Philadelphia +6 at Baltimore [MP Line: PHI +2.3] San Diego +2.5/+3 vs. Oakland [MP Line: SD…
My treatise on randomness last week might be even more fitting now, after we got smacked around pretty good–1-4 on official plays, 2-1 on leans. Sometimes, that’s how it goes. Our college football numbers had a very solid year; our NFL numbers have not (so far). We continue to trust the process. Here are the Week…
We enter the stretch run of the season coming off another losing week, unfortunately. Losing isn’t fun, but lady luck dictates it will happen sometimes, and those are the times when people might be tempted to question the process. Do I believe that our Massey-Peabody model is perfect and there are no possible improvements? Of course not. There…
Posting picks early this week, due to Thanksgiving. Went 1-0 on our official plays last week, 0-2 on our leans. Huge volume of picks this week; would have been even better value had I posted yesterday! Lines are QB-specific, with Tolzien starting for Indy, Fitzpatrick for the Jets, and Barkley for Chicago. Big Plays (4-6-1 YTD)…
The challenge of posting picks at one time in the week is that lines move around, and sometimes value will pop up on Sunday morning. Last week’s results weren’t good if you just look at the picks we posted (1-2 on official plays, 2-0 on leans), but that doesn’t tell the entire story. Carolina looked to…
Not much to recap from last week (except my trip to Ecuador, which I won’t bore you with here). Our one and only play of the week (San Francisco) was blown out by New Orleans. I wrote a piece for ESPN this week with betting-related takeaways from the first half of the season. It’s been a…
A solid week for our official plays last week, with both of our Big Plays winning and our Other Plays going 1-1. Unfortunately, all three of our leans lost. Didn’t get to watch any of the games, as I’m on a mindfulness retreat (with 25 of my new best friends!) in Ecuador, but I’m still running the…
Last week was basically a wash, with our Big Plays going 1-1-1 (2-1 if you were able to get the Saints at +6.5 instead of +6), Other Plays 1-1, and both leans won. Here’s what we have for this week: Big Plays: (2-4-1 YTD) Tennessee -3 +100 vs. Jacksonville [MP Line: TEN -5.6] Green Bay +3 at Atlanta [MP…
We won our only Big Play of the week last week, with San Diego winning outright against Denver. We split our Other Plays, as Miami won outright as a touchdown dog, the Jets were blown out in the desert, and Indianapolis blew a double-digit fourth quarter lead and lost in overtime, giving us a push. And unfortunately, both of…
Big Plays (1-3 YTD) none this weekend Other Plays (3-5-1 YTD) Miami +7/+7.5 vs. Pittsburgh [MP Line: MIA +5.4] Indianapolis +3 at Houston [MP Line: IND +0.6] New York Jets +7.5 at Arizona [MP Line: NYJ +5.6] Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (3-4 YTD) Seattle -6.5 vs. Atlanta [MP Line: SEA -8.8] Green Bay -4…