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Results from simulating the remainder of the season 10,000 times. Outcomes of future games are determined by each team’s Massey-Peabody ranking, home-field, and chance. M-P rankings begin at their current level and evolve in a random walk, with variance matching historical patterns. QB injury risk is factored in. This risk is constant for all teams, though the consequence varies by QB and team.

NFL futures compiled before week 18.