Some quick notes on the two all-FBS games today…
Hawaii is in Fort Collins to play CSU at 7:30pm ET. We make Hawaii #127 (!) in the country at -24.26. That’s a 7-spot drop from where they ended last year. We have their offense and defense equally bad (125 & 128). Meantime Colorado State checks in at #93 with -6.52, following a 28-spot drop from the end of 2017. The Rams have more on the ball offensively than defensively (#69 vs. #100). The line as of this writing is CSU -17. Adding a little extra HFA given Hawaii’s travel (their HFA’s are always juiced one way or the other), we make it -22.5. I’m not the professional gambler but that looks it could/should be an official play.
Then Wyoming travels to Las Cruces to play @SBN_BillC darling NMSU at 10pm ET. Fresh-ish off their first bowl win in 57 years, the Aggies look to us like the #112 best team in the country, at -14.82. That’s just about where the ended last year despite their bowl eligibility. We have their defense a little better than their offense, but neither very good (102 & 114). On the other side, the Cowboys drop 8 spots from last December to #97, with a power ranking of -7.91. The have a lot back from a decent defense so look respectable on that side (#58) of the ball. But if you didn’t love them with Josh Allen, you’ll love them less without him — we have their O at #115 (right next to NMSU’s). Current line is WYO -4 and we make it -4.5, so not much to see there. Both teams should be right on the border of bowl eligibility (we project 5.2 Ws for NMSU and 5.9 for Wyoming), so a win here would be useful first step for one of them.
It’s back. Enjoy it