Last week we were a disappointing 2-4. Here are our lines and picks for the week, based on Massey-Peabody ratings, adjusting for HFA and QB injuries. It does not factor in my player-level model. Also note that these are our model lines and are not regressed to the market.
- Tennessee -9.6 vs. Washington
- LA Chargers -6.5 vs. Baltimore
- PICK: LA CHARGERS -4
- Dallas -7.5 vs. Tampa Bay
- New England -14.3 vs. Buffalo
- Atlanta -0.5 at Carolina (Heinicke at QB)
- PICK: CAROLINA +3
- Miami -2.8 vs. Jacksonville
- Indianapolis -7.4 vs. NY Giants
- PICK: NY GIANTS +9.5
- Philadelphia -1.2 vs. Houston
- Minnesota -4.5 at Detroit
- Green Bay -2.5 at NY Jets
- Cleveland -6.3 vs. Cincinnati
- PICK: CINCINNATI +8.5
- LA Rams -14.0 at Arizona
- Chicago -8.6 at San Francisco
- PICK: CHICAGO -4
- New Orleans -8.3 vs. Pittsburgh
- PICK: NEW ORLEANS -6
- Seattle -0.8 vs. Kansas City
- Denver -4.1 at Oakland
2018 Record: 39.5-42-2.5 (49.7%)
