My treatise on randomness last week might be even more fitting now, after we got smacked around pretty good–1-4 on official plays, 2-1 on leans. Sometimes, that’s how it goes. Our college football numbers had a very solid year; our NFL numbers have not (so far). We continue to trust the process. Here are the Week 14 picks:
Big Plays (6-12-2) (ouch)
- Tennessee -1 vs. Denver [MP Line: TEN -4.2] (uses Siemian at QB)
- Buffalo +3/+2.5 vs. Pittsburgh [MP Line: BUF -1.0]
- New Orleans +2.5 at Tampa Bay [MP Line: NO -3.0]
- Philadelphia +2.5 vs. Washington [MP Line: PHI -2.0]
Other Plays (9-10.5-2.5)
- Green Bay +2.5/+3 vs. Seattle [MP Line: SEA -0.3]
Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (10-13-2 YTD)
- Carolina -1.5 vs. San Diego [MP Line: CAR -3.3]
- Los Angeles +6.5 vs. Atlanta [MP Line: ATL -4.7]
Massey-Peabody True Line on Remaining Games
- Kansas City -5.0 vs. Oakland (TNF)
- Indianapolis -5.5 vs. Houston
- Cincinnati -4.8 at Cleveland
- Arizona -0.8 at Miami
- Detroit -7.5 vs. Chicago
- Minnesota -5.4 at Jacksonville
- San Francisco -2.5 vs. New York Jets
- Dallas -2.8 at New York Giants
- New England -8.5 vs. Baltimore (uses adjustment for Gronkowski injury)
