Week 1 saw our picks go 2-2, with both Big Plays winning and both Other Plays losing. Opening week in the NFL is always interesting. Every year there are a few teams that surprise everyone with how well or poorly play. And every year the market loves to overreact to this one-week sample size, creating narratives to explain why these performances were not aberrations. Sometimes Week 1 really is a harbinger of things to come, but usually, it is just another week and markets overemphasize it because it is the first week. With that said, there is a lot of value in Week 2 simply by not overreacting to a one-game sample size. Is Peyton Manning finished? Probably not. Is Tyrod Taylor a franchise quarterback? Probably not. Are the Raiders really that bad? Well…actually…yeah.
On to the picks…
Big Plays (2-0 YTD)
- Denver +3 at Kansas City [MP Line: DEN -1.4]
- Detroit +2.5 at Minnesota [MP Line: DET -1.9]
- New England -1 at Buffalo [MP Line: NE -5.6]
- Dallas +5 at Philadelphia [MP Line: DAL -1.5]
Other Plays (0-2 YTD)
- San Francisco +6 at Pittsburgh [MP Line: SF +2.9]
- Washington +3.5 vs. St. Louis [MP Line: WAS +0.7]
MP Leans (0-0 YTD)
- Carolina -3 vs. Houston [MP Line: CAR -5.3]
- New York Jets +7 at Indianapolis [MP Line: NYJ +5]
- Baltimore -6.5 at Oakland [MP Line: BAL -8.8]
