From the Blog…

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2017 NFL Week 11 Picks

Big Plays (9-14-1 YTD, 124.5-105.5-7 lifetime) New York Giants +10/+10.5 vs. Kansas City [MP Line: NYG +3.7] Houston -1 vs. Arizona [MP Line: HOU -3.5] Dallas +4 vs. Philadelphia [MP Line: DAL +1.7] Other Plays (13.5-4-0.5 YTD, 164.5-128.5-7 lifetime) Minnesota -2 vs. LA Rams [MP Line: MIN -3.9] Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (11.5-4-0.5 YTD, 67.5-74.5-8 lifetime) Chicago…

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NFL Week 10 Game Grades

These individual game grades reflect a team’s performance — controlling for home field and strength of opponent — through the lens of the Massey-Peabody ratings. Percentile rating is normalized relative to historical games, and expected score differential is a team’s expected margin of victory against an average team on a neutral field. # season tm week…

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CFB Week 11 Grades

Our game grades are intended to allow for an apples-to-apples comparison between team performances each week. They control for home field and (expected) strength of opponent, are situationally weighted (i.e. garbage time is de-valued), and look at the statistics most predictive of future performance. In short, the grades measure how teams played in the areas of the game that…

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