NFL Futures

You are here:

Download MP Futures Following Week 15

Results from simulating the remainder of the season 10,000 times. Outcomes of future games are determined by each team’s Massey-Peabody ranking, home-field, and chance. M-P rankings begin at their current level and evolve in a random walk, with variance matching historical patterns. QB injury risk is factored in. This risk is constant for all teams, though the consequence varies by QB and team.

NOTE: These table columns are sortable. Click the header of any column to sort that column. Click once to sort data ascending. Click again to sort descending.

conf_div team Wins Losses Make_Playoffs Make_Playoffs_Change Win_Div Win_Div_Change Win_Conf Win_Conf_Change Win_SB Win_SB_Change
AFC-E NE 11.2 4.8 99% -1% 95% -3% 16% -1% 5% -1%
AFC-E MIA 9.3 6.7 71% 10% 5% 3% 4% 1% 1% 0%
AFC-E NYJ 6.8 9.2 -3% 0% 0% 0%
AFC-E BUF 5.8 10.2 0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC-N CIN 10.5 5.5 92% -7% 84% -12% 14% -3% 6% -2%
AFC-N BAL 8.7 7.3 36% 2% 16% 12% 2% 1% 1% 0%
AFC-N PIT 7.2 8.8 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC-N CLE 4.8 11.2 0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC-S IND 10.1 5.9 100% 0% 100% 0% 8% 2% 2% 1%
AFC-S TEN 6.4 9.6 -1% 0% 0% 0%
AFC-S JAC 4.5 11.5 0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC-S HOU 2.5 13.5 0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC-W DEN 12.6 3.4 100% 0% 87% -11% 45% -4% 21% -4%
AFC-W KC 12.2 3.8 100% 0% 13% 11% 12% 5% 5% 2%
AFC-W SD 8.3 7.7 2% -1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC-W OAK 4.4 11.6 0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC-E PHI 8.9 7.1 45% -3% 45% 2% 2% 0% 1% 0%
NFC-E DAL 8.4 7.6 55% -2% 55% -2% 3% -1% 1% 0%
NFC-E NYG 6.0 10.0 0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC-E WAS 3.6 12.4 0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC-N CHI 9.1 6.9 54% 28% 54% 28% 3% 2% 2% 1%
NFC-N DET 8.3 7.7 19% -44% 19% -44% 1% -2% 1% -1%
NFC-N GB 7.9 7.2 27% 16% 27% 16% 1% 1% 1% 0%
NFC-N MIN 4.7 10.3 0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC-S CAR 11.3 4.7 93% 0% 43% 30% 16% 5% 9% 3%
NFC-S NO 11.2 4.8 99% -1% 57% -30% 17% -14% 10% -8%
NFC-S TB 4.5 11.5 0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC-S ATL 4.5 11.5 0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC-W SEA 13.6 2.4 100% 0% 99% 2% 50% 10% 32% 8%
NFC-W SF 11.2 4.8 97% 7% 1% -2% 5% 0% 3% 0%
NFC-W ARI 9.8 6.2 11% -1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0%
NFC-W STL 6.8 9.2 0% 0% 0% 0%