Wasn’t sure I was going to be able to say this after our 18-31 start, but our college football picks are now over 50%! 6-5 altogether last week:¬†Big Plays went 1-2;¬†Other Plays went 3-1; MP Leans went 2-2. We were particularly accurate on the underdogs last week, with USC winning as a 5-point dog, Minnesota winning as a 9.5-point dog, and Temple–a 13.5-point underdog–coming one 4th-and-10 stop short of winning outright. ¬†Southern Miss…not so close.
Last week’s line moves were a little unusual. We were on the wrong side of the move on 5 of our 11 picks, however, those moved a total of 3 points against us; we were on the right side of the move on 5 games, but those moved 13 points toward us, the biggest being Northern Illinois, which moved from -23.5 to -28.
On to this week‚Äôs picks. As usual, we don‚Äôt account for injuries or matchup factors. I’m downgrading UNC from an Other Play to an¬†MP Lean due to the season-ending injury to Bryn Renner.¬†Lines widely available as of 11pm EST on Tuesday night.
Big Plays (15-10 YTD)
- Stanford +10 vs. Oregon
- Hawaii +17 at Navy
Other Plays (18-24-1 YTD)
- Syracuse +6 at Maryland
- New Mexico State +24.5 vs. Boston College
MP Leans (13-11 YTD)
- Texas -6.5 at West Virginia
- Oklahoma +15 at Baylor
- Cincinnati -8.5 vs. Southern Methodist
- North Carolina -13.5 vs. Virginia