Our game grades are intended to allow for an apples-to-apples comparison between team performances each week. They control for home field and (expected) strength of opponent, are situationally weighted (i.e. garbage time is de-valued), and look at the statistics most predictive of future performance. In short, the grades measure how teams played in the areas of the game that matter from a predictive standpoint. Percentile rating and score diff are measured relative to historical norms over the past 12 seasons.
# | season | week | tm | opp | score_own | score_opp | game_rating1 | score_diff_pred |
1 | 2017 | 7 | Ohio State | Nebraska | 56 | 14 | 0.992 | 38.3 |
2 | 2017 | 7 | Alabama | Arkansas | 41 | 9 | 0.990 | 36.9 |
3 | 2017 | 7 | TCU | Kansas State | 26 | 6 | 0.972 | 30.5 |
4 | 2017 | 7 | Stanford | Oregon | 49 | 7 | 0.949 | 26.1 |
5 | 2017 | 7 | Florida State | Duke | 17 | 10 | 0.945 | 25.5 |
6 | 2017 | 7 | Boise State | San Diego State | 31 | 14 | 0.935 | 24.1 |
7 | 2017 | 7 | Mississippi State | Brigham Young | 35 | 10 | 0.921 | 22.5 |
8 | 2017 | 7 | Oklahoma State | Baylor | 59 | 16 | 0.916 | 22.0 |
9 | 2017 | 7 | North Carolina State | Pittsburgh | 35 | 17 | 0.910 | 21.3 |
10 | 2017 | 7 | Michigan State | Minnesota | 30 | 27 | 0.899 | 20.4 |
11 | 2017 | 7 | Oklahoma | Texas | 29 | 24 | 0.887 | 19.3 |
12 | 2017 | 7 | UCF | East Carolina | 63 | 21 | 0.875 | 18.3 |
13 | 2017 | 7 | Wisconsin | Purdue | 17 | 9 | 0.874 | 18.3 |
14 | 2017 | 7 | Arizona | UCLA | 47 | 30 | 0.869 | 17.9 |
15 | 2017 | 7 | LSU | Auburn | 27 | 23 | 0.863 | 17.5 |
16 | 2017 | 7 | Northwestern | Maryland | 37 | 21 | 0.863 | 17.5 |
17 | 2017 | 7 | California | Washington State | 37 | 3 | 0.842 | 16.0 |
18 | 2017 | 7 | South Carolina | Tennessee | 15 | 9 | 0.840 | 15.9 |
19 | 2017 | 7 | Georgia | Missouri | 53 | 28 | 0.838 | 15.8 |
20 | 2017 | 7 | Boston College | Louisville | 45 | 42 | 0.824 | 14.8 |
21 | 2017 | 7 | Syracuse | Clemson | 27 | 24 | 0.814 | 14.3 |
22 | 2017 | 7 | Georgia Tech | Miami (FL) | 24 | 25 | 0.809 | 13.9 |
23 | 2017 | 7 | Fresno State | New Mexico | 38 | 0 | 0.797 | 13.3 |
24 | 2017 | 7 | Michigan | Indiana | 27 | 20 | 0.794 | 13.1 |
25 | 2017 | 7 | Auburn | LSU | 23 | 27 | 0.784 | 12.5 |
26 | 2017 | 7 | Utah | USC | 27 | 28 | 0.768 | 11.7 |
27 | 2017 | 7 | Toledo | Central Michigan | 30 | 10 | 0.764 | 11.5 |
28 | 2017 | 7 | USC | Utah | 28 | 27 | 0.758 | 11.1 |
29 | 2017 | 7 | Florida | Texas A&M | 17 | 19 | 0.757 | 11.1 |
30 | 2017 | 7 | Miami (FL) | Georgia Tech | 25 | 24 | 0.755 | 11.0 |
31 | 2017 | 7 | Washington | Arizona State | 7 | 13 | 0.749 | 10.7 |
32 | 2017 | 7 | Texas Tech | West Virginia | 35 | 46 | 0.743 | 10.4 |
33 | 2017 | 7 | Iowa State | Kansas | 45 | 0 | 0.735 | 10.0 |
34 | 2017 | 7 | Ole Miss | Vanderbilt | 57 | 35 | 0.733 | 9.9 |
35 | 2017 | 7 | Virginia | North Carolina | 20 | 14 | 0.732 | 9.9 |
36 | 2017 | 7 | Texas | Oklahoma | 24 | 29 | 0.726 | 9.6 |
37 | 2017 | 7 | Memphis | Navy | 30 | 27 | 0.702 | 8.5 |
38 | 2017 | 7 | Rutgers | Illinois | 35 | 24 | 0.698 | 8.3 |
39 | 2017 | 7 | Texas A&M | Florida | 19 | 17 | 0.675 | 7.2 |
40 | 2017 | 7 | Arizona State | Washington | 13 | 7 | 0.660 | 6.6 |
41 | 2017 | 7 | Clemson | Syracuse | 24 | 27 | 0.654 | 6.3 |
42 | 2017 | 7 | Tulsa | Houston | 45 | 17 | 0.639 | 5.7 |
43 | 2017 | 7 | Ohio | Bowling Green | 48 | 30 | 0.628 | 5.2 |
44 | 2017 | 7 | Air Force | UNLV | 34 | 30 | 0.615 | 4.7 |
45 | 2017 | 7 | Georgia State | Louisiana-Monroe | 47 | 37 | 0.602 | 4.1 |
46 | 2017 | 7 | Oregon State | Colorado | 33 | 36 | 0.602 | 4.1 |
47 | 2017 | 7 | Western Kentucky | Charlotte | 45 | 14 | 0.600 | 4.0 |
48 | 2017 | 7 | South Florida | Cincinnati | 33 | 3 | 0.596 | 3.9 |
49 | 2017 | 7 | Eastern Michigan | Army | 27 | 28 | 0.590 | 3.6 |
50 | 2017 | 7 | Florida International | Tulane | 23 | 10 | 0.570 | 2.8 |
51 | 2017 | 7 | Northern Illinois | Buffalo | 14 | 13 | 0.537 | 1.5 |
52 | 2017 | 7 | Missouri | Georgia | 28 | 53 | 0.520 | 0.8 |
53 | 2017 | 7 | Colorado State | Nevada | 44 | 42 | 0.504 | 0.2 |
54 | 2017 | 7 | Indiana | Michigan | 20 | 27 | 0.497 | -0.1 |
55 | 2017 | 7 | Marshall | Old Dominion | 35 | 3 | 0.452 | -1.9 |
56 | 2017 | 7 | South Alabama | Troy | 19 | 8 | 0.446 | -2.2 |
57 | 2017 | 7 | Wyoming | Utah State | 28 | 23 | 0.436 | -2.6 |
58 | 2017 | 7 | Southern Miss | UTEP | 24 | 0 | 0.424 | -3.1 |
59 | 2017 | 7 | Colorado | Oregon State | 36 | 33 | 0.421 | -3.2 |
60 | 2017 | 7 | West Virginia | Texas Tech | 46 | 35 | 0.416 | -3.4 |
61 | 2017 | 7 | Louisville | Boston College | 42 | 45 | 0.410 | -3.6 |
62 | 2017 | 7 | Duke | Florida State | 10 | 17 | 0.395 | -4.3 |
63 | 2017 | 7 | Purdue | Wisconsin | 9 | 17 | 0.393 | -4.3 |
64 | 2017 | 7 | North Carolina | Virginia | 14 | 20 | 0.391 | -4.4 |
65 | 2017 | 7 | San Jose State | Hawaii | 26 | 37 | 0.391 | -4.4 |
66 | 2017 | 7 | Navy | Memphis | 27 | 30 | 0.381 | -4.8 |
67 | 2017 | 7 | UCLA | Arizona | 30 | 47 | 0.380 | -4.9 |
68 | 2017 | 7 | Oregon | Stanford | 7 | 49 | 0.378 | -5.0 |
69 | 2017 | 7 | Idaho | Appalachian State | 20 | 23 | 0.351 | -6.1 |
70 | 2017 | 7 | Cincinnati | South Florida | 3 | 33 | 0.336 | -6.7 |
71 | 2017 | 7 | New Mexico State | Georgia Southern | 35 | 27 | 0.327 | -7.1 |
72 | 2017 | 7 | Arkansas | Alabama | 9 | 41 | 0.323 | -7.3 |
73 | 2017 | 7 | North Texas | UTSA | 29 | 26 | 0.308 | -8.0 |
74 | 2017 | 7 | Miami (OH) | Kent State | 14 | 17 | 0.308 | -8.0 |
75 | 2017 | 7 | Tennessee | South Carolina | 9 | 15 | 0.300 | -8.3 |
76 | 2017 | 7 | UTSA | North Texas | 26 | 29 | 0.300 | -8.4 |
77 | 2017 | 7 | Nevada | Colorado State | 42 | 44 | 0.291 | -8.8 |
78 | 2017 | 7 | Washington State | California | 3 | 37 | 0.288 | -8.9 |
79 | 2017 | 7 | Temple | Connecticut | 24 | 28 | 0.287 | -8.9 |
80 | 2017 | 7 | Pittsburgh | North Carolina State | 17 | 35 | 0.285 | -9.1 |
81 | 2017 | 7 | Vanderbilt | Ole Miss | 35 | 57 | 0.283 | -9.2 |
82 | 2017 | 7 | Connecticut | Temple | 28 | 24 | 0.250 | -10.7 |
83 | 2017 | 7 | Kansas State | TCU | 6 | 26 | 0.247 | -10.9 |
84 | 2017 | 7 | Houston | Tulsa | 17 | 45 | 0.244 | -11.1 |
85 | 2017 | 7 | Baylor | Oklahoma State | 16 | 59 | 0.226 | -12.0 |
86 | 2017 | 7 | Appalachian State | Idaho | 23 | 20 | 0.222 | -12.2 |
87 | 2017 | 7 | Minnesota | Michigan State | 27 | 30 | 0.204 | -13.2 |
88 | 2017 | 7 | Nebraska | Ohio State | 14 | 56 | 0.199 | -13.5 |
89 | 2017 | 7 | Texas State | Louisiana-Lafayette | 7 | 24 | 0.197 | -13.6 |
90 | 2017 | 7 | Army | Eastern Michigan | 28 | 27 | 0.195 | -13.7 |
91 | 2017 | 7 | Kent State | Miami (OH) | 17 | 14 | 0.193 | -13.8 |
92 | 2017 | 7 | Utah State | Wyoming | 23 | 28 | 0.182 | -14.5 |
93 | 2017 | 7 | Louisiana-Lafayette | Texas State | 24 | 7 | 0.181 | -14.6 |
94 | 2017 | 7 | Buffalo | Northern Illinois | 13 | 14 | 0.175 | -14.9 |
95 | 2017 | 7 | Maryland | Northwestern | 21 | 37 | 0.175 | -14.9 |
96 | 2017 | 7 | Troy | South Alabama | 8 | 19 | 0.156 | -16.1 |
97 | 2017 | 7 | Tulane | Florida International | 10 | 23 | 0.145 | -16.8 |
98 | 2017 | 7 | Georgia Southern | New Mexico State | 27 | 35 | 0.134 | -17.7 |
99 | 2017 | 7 | San Diego State | Boise State | 14 | 31 | 0.129 | -18.0 |
100 | 2017 | 7 | Old Dominion | Marshall | 3 | 35 | 0.128 | -18.1 |
101 | 2017 | 7 | UNLV | Air Force | 30 | 34 | 0.123 | -18.5 |
102 | 2017 | 7 | Kansas | Iowa State | 0 | 45 | 0.115 | -19.1 |
103 | 2017 | 7 | Brigham Young | Mississippi State | 10 | 35 | 0.103 | -20.2 |
104 | 2017 | 7 | Central Michigan | Toledo | 10 | 30 | 0.087 | -21.7 |
105 | 2017 | 7 | Bowling Green | Ohio | 30 | 48 | 0.074 | -23.0 |
106 | 2017 | 7 | Hawaii | San Jose State | 37 | 26 | 0.072 | -23.3 |
107 | 2017 | 7 | Illinois | Rutgers | 24 | 35 | 0.068 | -23.8 |
108 | 2017 | 7 | New Mexico | Fresno State | 0 | 38 | 0.064 | -24.3 |
109 | 2017 | 7 | Louisiana-Monroe | Georgia State | 37 | 47 | 0.059 | -24.9 |
110 | 2017 | 7 | UTEP | Southern Miss | 0 | 24 | 0.059 | -25.0 |
111 | 2017 | 7 | East Carolina | UCF | 21 | 63 | 0.055 | -25.5 |
112 | 2017 | 7 | Charlotte | Western Kentucky | 14 | 45 | 0.049 | -26.4 |