Rufus Peabody is a sports analyst and professional sports bettor, currently traveling the world on Remote Year. He is a 2008 graduate of Yale University, where he wrote his senior thesis on inefficiencies in the baseball betting market. Mr. Peabody was previously ESPN's 'predictive analytics expert' and many, many years ago got his start in the industry working as a statistical analyst for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

2018 NFL Week 3 Picks

Not a lot of good news to recap last week. Our picks went 2-5, dropping us into the negative on the young season. Here are the Massey-Peabody lines for this week’s slate: Cleveland -0.9 vs. NY Jets PICK: NY JETS +3/+3.5 Philadelphia -6.2 vs. Indianapolis Carolina -3.5 vs. Cincinnati Tennessee/Jacksonville off the board due to…

2018 NFL Week 2 Picks

We got off to a solid start last week, with our picks going 3-1-1. There was some negative feedback, including from Cade himself, about switching to one category of picks. As Cade said, the hallmark of a good system is that it should do better as its edge increases. That feedback makes sense. What doesn’t…

2018 NFL Week 1 Picks

Ah, NFL season is finally here. Here at Massey-Peabody, we do what we always do and wait until July to implement all the great ideas we came up with to improve the model the previous season. While there haven’t been major changes to our regular model, we’ve been working on a way to quantify the…

2018 NFL Wild Card Picks

Big Plays (21-29-3 YTD) Tennessee +8.5 at Kansas City [MP Line: TEN +5.0] Other Plays (23.5-7-0.5 YTD) Buffalo +8.5/+9 at Jacksonville [MP Line: BUF +7.4] Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (15.5-12-1.5 YTD) Carolina +6.5 at New Orleans [MP Line: CAR +4.8] In the one remaining game, we make the LA Rams a 6.4-point favorite hosting…

2017 NFL Week 17 Picks

It’s the final week of the regular season, and an unusually large number of playoff-bound teams have little to no incentive to win. Two teams (Kansas City and the LA Rams) have announced that they will be resting their key starters, which makes a lot of sense given their position and that they won’t have…

2017 NFL Week 16 Picks

Big Plays (17-23-2 YTD, 132.5-114.5-8 lifetime) Green Bay +9 vs. Minnesota [MP Line: GB +5.9] Cincinnati +3.5/+4 vs. Detroit [MP Line: CIN -2.1] NY Jets +7 vs. LA Chargers [MP Line: NYJ +4.5] Tennessee +6.5/+7 vs. LA Rams [MP Line: TEN +3.5] New England -11 vs. Buffalo [MP Line: NE -15.5] NY Giants +4 at…

2017 Bowl Game ATS Picks

Here are our official ATS picks for bowl games: Arizona -3.5 vs. Purdue (MP Line: Arizona -5.4) Troy -6.5 vs. North Texas (MP Line: Troy -11.1) Army +7 vs. San Diego State (MP Line: Army +3.5) Virginia Tech +4.5 vs. Oklahoma State (MP Line: Virginia Tech +0.7) Note: I made two mistakes when posting these…

2017 NFL Week 15 Picks

Big Plays (15-21 YTD, 130.5-114.5-7 lifetime) Kansas City +1 vs. LA Chargers [MP Line: KC -3.4] Houston +11 at Jacksonville [MP Line: HOU +7.1] Baltimore -7 at Cleveland [MP Line: BAL -11.3] Tennessee +2 at San Francisco [MP Line: TEN -6.6] Other Plays (20.5-5-0.5 YTD, 171.5-129.5-7 lifetime) Cincinnati +10.5 at Minnesota [MP Line: CIN +8.5]…