Rufus Peabody is a sports analyst and professional sports bettor, currently traveling the world on Remote Year. He is a 2008 graduate of Yale University, where he wrote his senior thesis on inefficiencies in the baseball betting market. Mr. Peabody was previously ESPN's 'predictive analytics expert' and many, many years ago got his start in the industry working as a statistical analyst for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

2018 NFL Week 11 Picks

A 2-5 record last week drops us to our worst mark of the season — 47.8%.┬áHere are this week’s MP picks. As always, these picks are based on the Massey-Peabody ratings, adjusted for home-field advantage. Seattle -4.4 vs. Green Bay Carolina -6.4 at Detroit Atlanta -1.8 vs. Dallas BAL/CIN off the board due to Flacco…

2018 NFL Week 10 Picks

We’re coming off a 1-2 week, which leaves under profitability, and just slightly over 50% on the year. Here are this week’s picks. As always, these picks are based on the Massey-Peabody ratings, adjusted for home-field advantage. Pittsburgh -1.8 vs. Carolina PICK: CAROLINA +3.5 NY Jets -11.3 vs. Buffalo PICK: NY JETS -7 Atlanta -6.3…

2018 NFL Week 9 Picks

Coming off a 3-3 week, we stay slightly above .500 (but below profitability) for the season. Here are our lines and picks for this week. San Francisco -2.6 vs. Oakland Minnesota -7.0 vs. Detroit Kansas City -7.8 at Cleveland Baltimore -3.9 vs. Pittsburgh Carolina -7.8 vs. Tampa Bay Miami -0.6 vs. NY Jets PICK: NY…

2018 NFL Week 8 Picks

Using the same featured image on our picks last week did not yield the same results. Last week’s picks were an abysmal 1-4-1, putting us slightly below profitability on the year. SAD! Here are this week’s MP lines and picks, trying to avoid typos this week: Houston -5.4 vs. Miami PICK: MIAMI +7/+7.5 Philadelphia -2.2…

2018 NFL Week 7 Picks

Coming off our best week of the season, with our picks going 6-0.5-0.5 (the push-loss being New England -3.25). Hopefully no typos on teams this week, but I make no guarantees! Here are our numbers for this week’s slate: Denver -2.6 at Arizona LA Chargers -7.4 vs. Tennessee (n) Chicago -1.9 vs. New England PICK:…

2018 NFL Week 6 Picks

Last week we went 2.5-3-0.5 (yay asian handicap!). So far this season, we’re slightly worse than a monkey flipping a coin. Here are this week’s slate, and MP picks: Philadelphia -3.2 at NY Giants PICK: PHILADELPHIA -1 Minnesota -10.2 vs. Arizona LA Chargers -4.2 at Cleveland PICK: LA CHARGERS -1 Chicago -2.9 at Miami Washington…

2018 NFL Week 5 Picks

Last week we went 3-4.5-0.5. The half-loss/half-push is because we graded Seattle listed as both -3/-3.5 (so like an Asian handicap), since the market was solidly between those two numbers. Here are this week’s MP lines and picks: New England -7.7 vs. Indianapolis PICK: INDIANAPOLIS +10/+10.5 Baltimore -7.2 at Cleveland PICK: BALTIMORE -3 Kansas City…

2018 NFL Week 4 Picks

Last week’s picks went 4-2. Here are our lines and picks for this week: LA Rams -7.8 vs. Minnesota New England -3.1 vs. Miami PICK: MIAMI +6.5/+7 Indianapolis -2.0 vs. Houston Atlanta -2.6 vs. Cincinnati Green Bay -5.6 vs. Buffalo PICK: BUFFALO +9.5 Dallas -6.1 vs. Detroit PICK: DALLAS -3 Jacksonville -4.4 vs. NY Jets…

2018 NFL Week 3 Picks

Not a lot of good news to recap last week. Our picks went 2-5, dropping us into the negative on the young season. Here are the Massey-Peabody lines for this week’s slate: Cleveland -0.9 vs. NY Jets PICK: NY JETS +3/+3.5 Philadelphia -6.2 vs. Indianapolis Carolina -3.5 vs. Cincinnati Tennessee/Jacksonville off the board due to…