CFB Week 11 Grades

Our game grades are intended to allow for an apples-to-apples comparison between team performances each week. They control for home field and (expected) strength of opponent, are situationally weighted (i.e. garbage time is de-valued), and look at the statistics most predictive of future performance. In short, the grades measure how teams played in the areas of the game that matter from a predictive standpoint. Percentile rating and score diff are measured relative to historical norms over the past 12 seasons.

#	season	week	tm	opp	tm score	opp score	pctile rating	score diff
1	2017	11	Ohio State	Michigan State	48	3	0.998	45.3
2	2017	11	Auburn	Georgia	40	17	0.985	34.6
3	2017	11	Miami (FL)	Notre Dame	41	8	0.972	30.4
4	2017	11	Wisconsin	Iowa	38	14	0.972	30.4
5	2017	11	Arizona	Oregon State	49	28	0.951	26.4
6	2017	11	Minnesota	Nebraska	54	21	0.949	26.1
7	2017	11	Missouri	Tennessee	50	17	0.935	24.1
8	2017	11	Alabama	Mississippi State	31	24	0.933	23.9
9	2017	11	Clemson	Florida State	31	14	0.930	23.6
10	2017	11	LSU	Arkansas	33	10	0.930	23.5
11	2017	11	South Carolina	Florida	28	20	0.912	21.6
12	2017	11	Florida Atlantic	Louisiana Tech	48	23	0.911	21.5
13	2017	11	USC	Colorado	38	24	0.911	21.4
14	2017	11	Wake Forest	Syracuse	64	43	0.905	20.9
15	2017	11	Penn State	Rutgers	35	6	0.903	20.7
16	2017	11	Michigan	Maryland	35	10	0.900	20.4
17	2017	11	Oklahoma	TCU	38	20	0.893	19.9
18	2017	11	West Virginia	Kansas State	28	23	0.881	18.8
19	2017	11	Louisville	Virginia	38	21	0.875	18.3
20	2017	11	Washington	Stanford	22	30	0.869	17.9
21	2017	11	Kentucky	Vanderbilt	44	21	0.861	17.3
22	2017	11	Texas A&M	New Mexico	55	14	0.850	16.5
23	2017	11	Ohio	Toledo	38	10	0.832	15.4
24	2017	11	TCU	Oklahoma	20	38	0.832	15.3
25	2017	11	Mississippi State	Alabama	24	31	0.823	14.8
26	2017	11	Army	Duke	21	16	0.810	14.0
27	2017	11	Georgia Tech	Virginia Tech	28	22	0.807	13.8
28	2017	11	Stanford	Washington	30	22	0.781	12.4
29	2017	11	Texas Tech	Baylor	38	24	0.771	11.8
30	2017	11	Temple	Cincinnati	35	24	0.749	10.7
31	2017	11	Northern Illinois	Ball State	63	17	0.722	9.4
32	2017	11	Iowa State	Oklahoma State	42	49	0.710	8.8
33	2017	11	Florida State	Clemson	14	31	0.708	8.7
34	2017	11	Oklahoma State	Iowa State	49	42	0.707	8.7
35	2017	11	North Carolina State	Boston College	17	14	0.700	8.4
36	2017	11	Ole Miss	Louisiana-Lafayette	50	22	0.689	7.9
37	2017	11	Utah	Washington State	25	33	0.684	7.6
38	2017	11	Washington State	Utah	33	25	0.683	7.6
39	2017	11	Boise State	Colorado State	59	52	0.673	7.2
40	2017	11	Virginia Tech	Georgia Tech	22	28	0.653	6.3
41	2017	11	Boston College	North Carolina State	14	17	0.651	6.2
42	2017	11	Purdue	Northwestern	13	23	0.635	5.5
43	2017	11	Brigham Young	UNLV	31	21	0.629	5.3
44	2017	11	Wyoming	Air Force	28	14	0.624	5.0
45	2017	11	UCLA	Arizona State	44	37	0.617	4.7
46	2017	11	Georgia	Auburn	17	40	0.614	4.6
47	2017	11	Southern Methodist	Navy	40	43	0.607	4.3
48	2017	11	Miami (OH)	Akron	24	14	0.599	4.0
49	2017	11	Pittsburgh	North Carolina	31	34	0.595	3.9
50	2017	11	Appalachian State	Georgia Southern	27	6	0.594	3.8
51	2017	11	Indiana	Illinois	24	14	0.582	3.3
52	2017	11	Arizona State	UCLA	37	44	0.575	3.0
53	2017	11	Western Kentucky	Marshall	23	30	0.573	2.9
54	2017	11	Southern Miss	Rice	43	34	0.535	1.4
55	2017	11	Nevada	San Jose State	59	14	0.530	1.2
56	2017	11	North Carolina	Pittsburgh	34	31	0.527	1.1
57	2017	11	Kansas	Texas	27	42	0.507	0.3
58	2017	11	Connecticut	UCF	24	49	0.507	0.3
59	2017	11	Colorado State	Boise State	52	59	0.481	-0.8
60	2017	11	Northwestern	Purdue	23	13	0.479	-0.8
61	2017	11	Tulane	East Carolina	31	24	0.478	-0.9
62	2017	11	Fresno State	Hawaii	31	21	0.457	-1.7
63	2017	11	North Texas	UTEP	45	10	0.452	-1.9
64	2017	11	Arkansas State	South Alabama	19	24	0.440	-2.4
65	2017	11	Notre Dame	Miami (FL)	8	41	0.433	-2.7
66	2017	11	Middle Tennessee	Charlotte	35	21	0.400	-4.1
67	2017	11	Colorado	USC	24	38	0.389	-4.5
68	2017	11	Central Michigan	Eastern Michigan	42	30	0.380	-4.9
69	2017	11	Old Dominion	Florida International	37	30	0.369	-5.3
70	2017	11	Virginia	Louisville	21	38	0.362	-5.6
71	2017	11	UCF	Connecticut	49	24	0.354	-6.0
72	2017	11	Georgia State	Texas State	33	30	0.347	-6.3
73	2017	11	Arkansas	LSU	10	33	0.339	-6.6
74	2017	11	Texas	Kansas	42	27	0.333	-6.9
75	2017	11	Kansas State	West Virginia	23	28	0.316	-7.6
76	2017	11	Duke	Army	16	21	0.302	-8.3
77	2017	11	Eastern Michigan	Central Michigan	30	42	0.283	-9.1
78	2017	11	Kent State	Western Michigan	20	48	0.278	-9.4
79	2017	11	Western Michigan	Kent State	48	20	0.270	-9.8
80	2017	11	Iowa	Wisconsin	14	38	0.268	-9.8
81	2017	11	Navy	Southern Methodist	43	40	0.268	-9.9
82	2017	11	Florida	South Carolina	20	28	0.261	-10.2
83	2017	11	Buffalo	Bowling Green	38	28	0.256	-10.5
84	2017	11	Syracuse	Wake Forest	43	64	0.251	-10.7
85	2017	11	Maryland	Michigan	10	35	0.244	-11.1
86	2017	11	Rutgers	Penn State	6	35	0.241	-11.2
87	2017	11	Illinois	Indiana	14	24	0.222	-12.2
88	2017	11	Marshall	Western Kentucky	30	23	0.219	-12.3
89	2017	11	Hawaii	Fresno State	21	31	0.202	-13.3
90	2017	11	Bowling Green	Buffalo	28	38	0.195	-13.7
91	2017	11	South Alabama	Arkansas State	24	19	0.189	-14.1
92	2017	11	Vanderbilt	Kentucky	21	44	0.183	-14.4
93	2017	11	Louisiana-Lafayette	Ole Miss	22	50	0.176	-14.9
94	2017	11	Toledo	Ohio	10	38	0.173	-15.0
95	2017	11	Baylor	Texas Tech	24	38	0.172	-15.1
96	2017	11	Michigan State	Ohio State	3	48	0.171	-15.2
97	2017	11	Air Force	Wyoming	14	28	0.166	-15.5
98	2017	11	Tennessee	Missouri	17	50	0.136	-17.5
99	2017	11	East Carolina	Tulane	24	31	0.126	-18.3
100	2017	11	Oregon State	Arizona	28	49	0.114	-19.2
101	2017	11	Rice	Southern Miss	34	43	0.110	-19.5
102	2017	11	New Mexico	Texas A&M	14	55	0.106	-19.9
103	2017	11	Florida International	Old Dominion	30	37	0.105	-20.0
104	2017	11	UNLV	Brigham Young	21	31	0.079	-22.5
105	2017	11	Charlotte	Middle Tennessee	21	35	0.079	-22.5
106	2017	11	Akron	Miami (OH)	14	24	0.073	-23.2
107	2017	11	Cincinnati	Temple	24	35	0.069	-23.7
108	2017	11	Texas State	Georgia State	30	33	0.061	-24.6
109	2017	11	Georgia Southern	Appalachian State	6	27	0.055	-25.6
110	2017	11	Ball State	Northern Illinois	17	63	0.052	-25.9
111	2017	11	Nebraska	Minnesota	21	54	0.043	-27.3
112	2017	11	San Jose State	Nevada	14	59	0.022	-32.2
113	2017	11	UTEP	North Texas	10	45	0.019	-33.2
114	2017	11	Louisiana Tech	Florida Atlantic	23	48	0.016	-34.1
115	2017	10	Kent State	Bowling Green	16	44	0.004	-42.0
116	2017	10	San Jose State	San Diego State	7	52	0.004	-42.8

Author: Rufus

Related Posts