Here’s the first iteration of our weekly grades. These represent how well a team played, weighting metrics by their predictive value and controlling for expected quality of opponent.
# | season | week | tm | opp | tm score |
opp score |
pctile rating |
score diff |
1 | 2017 | 1 | LSU | Brigham Young | 27 | 0 | 0.995 | 40.7 |
2 | 2017 | 1 | Ohio State | Indiana | 49 | 21 | 0.972 | 30.4 |
3 | 2017 | 1 | Penn State | Akron | 52 | 0 | 0.970 | 29.9 |
4 | 2017 | 1 | Clemson | Kent State | 56 | 3 | 0.967 | 29.2 |
5 | 2017 | 1 | Alabama | Florida State | 24 | 7 | 0.965 | 28.8 |
6 | 2017 | 1 | Oklahoma State | Tulsa | 59 | 24 | 0.947 | 25.7 |
7 | 2017 | 1 | Michigan | Florida | 33 | 17 | 0.944 | 25.3 |
8 | 2017 | 0 | Stanford | Rice | 62 | 7 | 0.943 | 25.2 |
9 | 2017 | 1 | Maryland | Texas | 51 | 41 | 0.919 | 22.3 |
10 | 2017 | 1 | Navy | Florida Atlantic | 42 | 19 | 0.885 | 19.1 |
11 | 2017 | 1 | Michigan State | Bowling Green | 35 | 10 | 0.872 | 18.1 |
12 | 2017 | 1 | Notre Dame | Temple | 49 | 16 | 0.870 | 18.0 |
13 | 2017 | 1 | Auburn | Georgia Southern | 41 | 7 | 0.837 | 15.7 |
14 | 2017 | 1 | Vanderbilt | Middle Tennessee | 28 | 6 | 0.808 | 13.9 |
15 | 2017 | 0 | Colorado State | Oregon State | 58 | 27 | 0.806 | 13.8 |
16 | 2017 | 1 | Oklahoma | UTEP | 56 | 7 | 0.802 | 13.6 |
17 | 2017 | 1 | Texas A&M | UCLA | 44 | 45 | 0.795 | 13.1 |
18 | 2017 | 1 | Georgia | Appalachian State | 31 | 10 | 0.781 | 12.4 |
19 | 2017 | 1 | Wisconsin | Utah State | 59 | 10 | 0.764 | 11.5 |
20 | 2017 | 1 | UCF | Florida International | 61 | 17 | 0.764 | 11.5 |
21 | 2017 | 1 | Colorado | Colorado State | 17 | 3 | 0.761 | 11.3 |
22 | 2017 | 1 | Florida State | Alabama | 7 | 24 | 0.749 | 10.7 |
23 | 2017 | 1 | USC | Western Michigan | 49 | 31 | 0.740 | 10.2 |
24 | 2017 | 0 | South Florida | San Jose State | 42 | 22 | 0.730 | 9.8 |
25 | 2017 | 1 | Virginia Tech | West Virginia | 31 | 24 | 0.717 | 9.2 |
26 | 2017 | 1 | Iowa | Wyoming | 24 | 3 | 0.710 | 8.8 |
27 | 2017 | 1 | North Carolina State | South Carolina | 28 | 35 | 0.670 | 7.0 |
28 | 2017 | 1 | Western Michigan | USC | 31 | 49 | 0.648 | 6.0 |
29 | 2017 | 1 | Washington | Rutgers | 30 | 14 | 0.629 | 5.3 |
30 | 2017 | 1 | New Mexico State | Arizona State | 31 | 37 | 0.626 | 5.1 |
31 | 2017 | 1 | Boise State | Troy | 24 | 13 | 0.621 | 4.9 |
32 | 2017 | 1 | Louisville | Purdue | 35 | 28 | 0.597 | 3.9 |
33 | 2017 | 1 | California | North Carolina | 35 | 30 | 0.590 | 3.6 |
34 | 2017 | 1 | South Carolina | North Carolina State | 35 | 28 | 0.578 | 3.1 |
35 | 2017 | 1 | Kentucky | Southern Miss | 24 | 17 | 0.554 | 2.2 |
36 | 2017 | 1 | West Virginia | Virginia Tech | 24 | 31 | 0.552 | 2.1 |
37 | 2017 | 1 | Boston College | Northern Illinois | 23 | 20 | 0.526 | 1.0 |
38 | 2017 | 1 | Rutgers | Washington | 14 | 30 | 0.514 | 0.6 |
39 | 2017 | 1 | North Carolina | California | 30 | 35 | 0.499 | -0.1 |
40 | 2017 | 1 | Minnesota | Buffalo | 17 | 7 | 0.498 | -0.1 |
41 | 2017 | 1 | UCLA | Texas A&M | 45 | 44 | 0.492 | -0.3 |
42 | 2017 | 1 | Memphis | Louisiana-Monroe | 37 | 29 | 0.486 | -0.5 |
43 | 2017 | 1 | Nebraska | Arkansas State | 43 | 36 | 0.483 | -0.7 |
44 | 2017 | 1 | Nevada | Northwestern | 20 | 31 | 0.477 | -0.9 |
45 | 2017 | 1 | Purdue | Louisville | 28 | 35 | 0.476 | -1.0 |
46 | 2017 | 1 | Ole Miss | South Alabama | 47 | 27 | 0.472 | -1.1 |
47 | 2017 | 1 | Miami (OH) | Marshall | 26 | 31 | 0.459 | -1.6 |
48 | 2017 | 1 | Arkansas State | Nebraska | 36 | 43 | 0.453 | -1.9 |
49 | 2017 | 0 | Hawaii | Massachusetts | 38 | 35 | 0.442 | -2.3 |
50 | 2017 | 1 | Ball State | Illinois | 21 | 24 | 0.401 | -4.0 |
51 | 2017 | 1 | Appalachian State | Georgia | 10 | 31 | 0.393 | -4.3 |
52 | 2017 | 1 | Northwestern | Nevada | 31 | 20 | 0.372 | -5.2 |
53 | 2017 | 1 | Florida | Michigan | 17 | 33 | 0.371 | -5.3 |
54 | 2017 | 1 | Northern Illinois | Boston College | 20 | 23 | 0.369 | -5.4 |
55 | 2017 | 1 | Southern Miss | Kentucky | 17 | 24 | 0.359 | -5.8 |
56 | 2017 | 1 | South Alabama | Ole Miss | 27 | 47 | 0.358 | -5.8 |
57 | 2017 | 1 | Colorado State | Colorado | 3 | 17 | 0.339 | -6.6 |
58 | 2017 | 1 | Wyoming | Iowa | 3 | 24 | 0.325 | -7.2 |
59 | 2017 | 1 | Louisiana-Monroe | Memphis | 29 | 37 | 0.320 | -7.5 |
60 | 2017 | 1 | Troy | Boise State | 13 | 24 | 0.315 | -7.7 |
61 | 2017 | 1 | Illinois | Ball State | 24 | 21 | 0.298 | -8.5 |
62 | 2017 | 1 | Utah State | Wisconsin | 10 | 59 | 0.295 | -8.6 |
63 | 2017 | 1 | Eastern Michigan | Charlotte | 24 | 7 | 0.283 | -9.2 |
64 | 2017 | 1 | Indiana | Ohio State | 21 | 49 | 0.281 | -9.2 |
65 | 2017 | 1 | Buffalo | Minnesota | 7 | 17 | 0.262 | -10.2 |
66 | 2017 | 0 | Oregon State | Colorado State | 27 | 58 | 0.259 | -10.3 |
67 | 2017 | 1 | Marshall | Miami (OH) | 31 | 26 | 0.251 | -10.7 |
68 | 2017 | 1 | Temple | Notre Dame | 16 | 49 | 0.245 | -11.0 |
69 | 2017 | 1 | Georgia Southern | Auburn | 7 | 41 | 0.239 | -11.3 |
70 | 2017 | 1 | Texas | Maryland | 41 | 51 | 0.220 | -12.3 |
71 | 2017 | 0 | Massachusetts | Hawaii | 35 | 38 | 0.167 | -15.4 |
72 | 2017 | 1 | Charlotte | Eastern Michigan | 7 | 24 | 0.163 | -15.7 |
73 | 2017 | 0 | San Jose State | South Florida | 22 | 42 | 0.158 | -16.0 |
74 | 2017 | 1 | Arizona State | New Mexico State | 37 | 31 | 0.135 | -17.6 |
75 | 2017 | 1 | UTEP | Oklahoma | 7 | 56 | 0.135 | -17.6 |
76 | 2017 | 1 | Tulsa | Oklahoma State | 24 | 59 | 0.121 | -18.6 |
77 | 2017 | 1 | Middle Tennessee | Vanderbilt | 6 | 28 | 0.111 | -19.4 |
78 | 2017 | 0 | Rice | Stanford | 7 | 62 | 0.067 | -23.9 |
79 | 2017 | 1 | Florida International | UCF | 17 | 61 | 0.067 | -23.9 |
80 | 2017 | 1 | Bowling Green | Michigan State | 10 | 35 | 0.065 | -24.2 |
81 | 2017 | 1 | Kent State | Clemson | 3 | 56 | 0.063 | -24.4 |
82 | 2017 | 1 | Brigham Young | LSU | 0 | 27 | 0.054 | -25.7 |
83 | 2017 | 1 | Florida Atlantic | Navy | 19 | 42 | 0.038 | -28.3 |
84 | 2017 | 1 | Akron | Penn State | 0 | 52 | 0.027 | -30.8 |