Big change to our playoff projections this week, with Oklahoma jumping to the #2 spot and bumping Ohio State all the way out. USC also jumped Washington to claim one of the 4 spots. LSU and Penn State sneaking up. Overall we have 19 teams with a >5% chance – this looks like a pretty comprehensive list of the contenders.
| Team | MP | Rank | E(Ws) | E(Ls) | Pr(L<2) | Conf Champ | Playoff |
| Alabama | 31.0 | 1 | 11.1 | 0.9 | 78% | 56% | 67% |
| Oklahoma | 22.7 | 5 | 10.6 | 1.4 | 59% | 48% | 42% |
| Clemson | 24.2 | 3 | 10.3 | 1.7 | 51% | 32% | 37% |
| USC | 20.5 | 7 | 10.4 | 1.6 | 54% | 46% | 33% |
| Ohio State | 26.1 | 2 | 10.1 | 1.9 | 42% | 50% | 28% |
| Washington | 17.0 | 12 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 43% | 24% | 24% |
| LSU | 23.5 | 4 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 33% | 14% | 20% |
| Penn State | 18.9 | 8 | 9.7 | 2.3 | 31% | 12% | 18% |
| Wisconsin | 15.4 | 16 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 41% | 18% | 17% |
| Louisville | 17.1 | 11 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 24% | 11% | 13% |
| Michigan | 16.5 | 13 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 18% | 9% | 11% |
| TCU | 16.0 | 14 | 9.2 | 2.8 | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Florida State | 22.6 | 6 | 8.1 | 2.9 | 15% | 26% | 9% |
| Virginia Tech | 13.3 | 19 | 8.9 | 3.1 | 17% | 9% | 8% |
| Georgia | 16.0 | 15 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 20% | 11% | 8% |
| Oklahoma State | 14.7 | 17 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 16% | 14% | 8% |
| Kansas State | 13.0 | 20 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 12% | 10% | 6% |
| Stanford | 17.4 | 10 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 13% | 18% | 6% |
| Miami (FL) | 13.7 | 18 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 12% | 10% | 6% |
