Cade Massey is a Professor of the Practice at the Wharton School of Business. His research is on judgment under uncertainty, including overconfidence, optimism and under- and over-reaction. He is the co-author of “The Loser’s Curse: Overconfidence vs. Market Efficiency in the NFL Draft", co-host of "Wharton Moneyball" on SiriusXM 111, and co-director of Wharton People Analytics.

(No) 2019 NFL Picks

We’re getting out of the pick-posting business. Rufus explained why on his Twitter feed September 8. Quoting @RufusPeabody here… “Not blogging @MasseyPeabody NFL plays this year. Why? It’s one input to my betting but not the only one. It doesn’t feel right to give out a ‘model play’ on, for example, the Bengals, while I’m…

Week 0!

Some quick notes on the two all-FBS games today… Hawaii is in Fort Collins to play CSU at 7:30pm ET.  We make Hawaii #127 (!) in the country at -24.26. That’s a 7-spot drop from where they ended last year. We have their offense and defense equally bad (125 & 128). Meantime Colorado State checks…