Daily Archives: September 3, 2015

Impact of Schedule Strength. Wow.

Posted on September 3, 2015
By Cade MasseyAnalysis College Football College Football 2015 Blog

So you’re forecasting the season for the top 25 teams in college football. What do you think matters more, how good a team is or what kind of schedule they play? We all know strength of schedule matters, but how much? Might differences in schedule strength contribute as much to the final standings as differences…

Most over- and under-rated CFB teams

Posted on September 3, 2015
By Cade MasseyAnalysis College Football College Football 2015 Blog

For yesterday’s show on Wharton Moneyball I took a look at how expectations differed between “Experts” and “Algorithms”. I.e., the coaches and writers who vote in the two main polls versus analytics-based models like ours. To do this I just took the average points in the Coaches and AP polls, and compared that to the…