Sayonara, CFB picks
Lots of questions the last few days so want to give you an update. Looks like we’re getting out of the pick-posting business for college games. Just decided midweek after line moves complicated our lives. There were hard line moves in our direction on FIU, Central Michigan, Idaho and Alabama after we finally posted our rankings Wednesday. Alabama, for example (see figure below), held more-or-less steady for almost two months and then moved 2-2.5 points our direction shortly after we posted. It’s only one week, just a handful of games, and we are unlikely to be the sole reason for the moves. But after seeing the timing of moves last year we didn’t need much more convincing.
We’re still going to run CFB rankings and post them weekly, aiming for Thursdays. And will occasionally post a pick or two. But nothing regular or systematic.
NFL markets are thicker. We don’t expect any changes there.
Okay, enough about this stuff. Enjoy the glorious-ness of the first Saturday tomorrow.