Our current probabilities:
| Team |
Conf Alive |
Conf Champ |
SB Win |
| NE |
87.8% |
63.0% |
38.0% |
| DAL |
64.4% |
38.6% |
17.1% |
| ATL |
63.1% |
29.7% |
12.8% |
| PIT |
45.8% |
15.6% |
8.5% |
| KC |
54.2% |
17.2% |
8.1% |
| SEA |
36.9% |
17.0% |
7.7% |
| GB |
35.6% |
14.7% |
6.6% |
| HOU |
12.2% |
4.3% |
1.2% |
Author: Cade Massey
https://opimweb.wharton.upenn.edu/profile/1757/ Cade Massey is a Professor of the Practice at the Wharton School of Business. His research is on judgment under uncertainty, including overconfidence, optimism and under- and over-reaction. He is the co-author of “The Loser’s Curse: Overconfidence vs. Market Efficiency in the NFL Draft", co-host of "Wharton Moneyball" on SiriusXM 111, and co-director of Wharton People Analytics.
