Rufus Peabody is a sports analyst and professional sports bettor, currently traveling the world on Remote Year. He is a 2008 graduate of Yale University, where he wrote his senior thesis on inefficiencies in the baseball betting market. Mr. Peabody was previously ESPN's 'predictive analytics expert' and many, many years ago got his start in the industry working as a statistical analyst for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Our game grades are intended to allow for an apples-to-apples comparison between team performances each week. They control for home field and (expected) strength of opponent, are situationally weighted (i.e. garbage time is de-valued), and look at the statistics most predictive of future performance. In short, the grades measure how teams played in the areas of the game that…
Big Plays (6-7-1 YTD) Baltimore -3 vs. Miami [MP Line: BAL -7.0] New England -7/-7.5 vs. LA Chargers [MP Line: NE -13.0] Washington +2 vs. Dallas [MP Line: WAS -2.3] Other Plays (9-4 YTD) Philadelphia -12.5 vs. San Francisco [MP Line: PHI -15.5] Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (9.5-3-0.5 YTD) Carolina +2 at Tampa Bay…
These individual game grades reflect a team’s performance — controlling for home field and strength of opponent — through the lens of the Massey-Peabody ratings. Percentile rating is normalized relative to historical games, and expected score differential is a team’s expected margin of victory against an average team on a neutral field. # season tm week…
Our game grades are intended to allow for an apples-to-apples comparison between team performances each week. They control for home field and (expected) strength of opponent, are situationally weighted (i.e. garbage time is de-valued), and look at the statistics most predictive of future performance. In short, the grades measure how teams played in the areas of the game that…
Big Plays (6-4-1 YTD) Green Bay +5.5 vs. New Orleans [MP Line: GB +2.6] Arizona +3/+3.5 vs. LA Rams [MP Line: LAR -0.5] (in London) New York Giants +5.5 vs. Seattle [MP Line: SEA -0.8] Other Plays (9-3 YTD) Baltimore +5.5/+6 at Minnesota [MP Line: BAL +3.8] (using Keenum at QB) Break-Even or Better (unofficial…
These individual game grades reflect a team’s performance — controlling for home field and strength of opponent — through the lens of the Massey-Peabody ratings. Percentile rating is normalized relative to historical games, and expected score differential is a team’s expected margin of victory against an average team on a neutral field. # season tm week…
Our game grades are intended to allow for an apples-to-apples comparison between team performances each week. They control for home field and (expected) strength of opponent, are situationally weighted (i.e. garbage time is de-valued), and look at the statistics most predictive of future performance. In short, the grades measure how teams played in the areas of the game that…
Big Plays (4-3-1) Minnesota +3 vs. Green Bay [MP Line: MIN -1.3 w/ Bradford, +1.3 w/ Keenum] Washington -10 vs. San Francisco [MP Line: WAS -14.4] NY Giants +11.5 at Denver [MP Line: NYG +4.3] Other Plays (9-3 YTD) none this week Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (6.5-3-0.5 YTD) Philadelphia +3.5 at Carolina [MP Line:…
These individual game grades reflect a team’s performance — controlling for home field and strength of opponent — through the lens of the Massey-Peabody ratings. Percentile rating is normalized relative to historical games, and expected score differential is a team’s expected margin of victory against an average team on a neutral field. # season tm…
Our game grades are intended to allow for an apples-to-apples comparison between team performances each week. They control for home field and (expected) strength of opponent, are situationally weighted (i.e. garbage time is de-valued), and look at the statistics most predictive of future performance. In short, the grades measure how teams played in the areas of the game that…