It’s the final week of the regular season, and an unusually large number of playoff-bound teams have little to no incentive to win. Two teams (Kansas City and the LA Rams) have announced that they will be resting their key starters, which makes a lot of sense given their position and that they won’t have…
Big Plays (17-23-2 YTD, 132.5-114.5-8 lifetime) Green Bay +9 vs. Minnesota [MP Line: GB +5.9] Cincinnati +3.5/+4 vs. Detroit [MP Line: CIN -2.1] NY Jets +7 vs. LA Chargers [MP Line: NYJ +4.5] Tennessee +6.5/+7 vs. LA Rams [MP Line: TEN +3.5] New England -11 vs. Buffalo [MP Line: NE -15.5] NY Giants +4 at…
Big Plays (15-21 YTD, 130.5-114.5-7 lifetime) Kansas City +1 vs. LA Chargers [MP Line: KC -3.4] Houston +11 at Jacksonville [MP Line: HOU +7.1] Baltimore -7 at Cleveland [MP Line: BAL -11.3] Tennessee +2 at San Francisco [MP Line: TEN -6.6] Other Plays (20.5-5-0.5 YTD, 171.5-129.5-7 lifetime) Cincinnati +10.5 at Minnesota [MP Line: CIN +8.5]…
Big Plays (15-17-1 YTD, 130.5-109.5-7 lifetime) Cincinnati -6 vs. Chicago [MP Line: CIN -10.0] Houston -2.5/-3 vs. San Francisco [MP Line: HOU -7.3] Washington +6 at LA Chargers [MP Line: WAS +2.7] NY Giants +4 vs. Dallas [MP Line: NYG +0.8] Other Plays (18.5-4-0.5 YTD, 169.5-128.5-7 lifetime) Seattle +2.5 at Jacksonville [MP Line: SEA -0.7]…
These individual game grades reflect a team’s performance — controlling for home field and strength of opponent — through the lens of the Massey-Peabody ratings. Percentile rating is normalized relative to historical games, and expected score differential is a team’s expected margin of victory against an average team on a neutral field. # season tm week…
Big Plays (12-17-1 YTD, 127.5-108.5-7 lifetime) Arizona +7 vs. LA Rams [MP Line: ARI +3.7] NY Giants +9 at Oakland [MP Line: NYG +2.5] Seattle +6 vs. Philadelphia [MP Line: SEA -0.6] Cincinnati +5/+5.5 vs. Pittsburgh [MP Line: CIN +1.6] Other Plays (15.5-4-0.5 YTD, 166.5-128.5-7 lifetime) Dallas +1.5 vs. Washington [MP Line: DAL -1.8] Baltimore…
Happy Thanksgiving, everyone! Thankful for being able to do something I love (sports analytics) for a living, for more than seven years of professional collaboration with Cade, and for you — our audience — who think we have something worthwhile to contribute. Big Plays (11-15-1 YTD, 126.5-106.5-7 lifetime) Dallas +2 vs. LA Chargers [MP Line:…
Big Plays (9-14-1 YTD, 124.5-105.5-7 lifetime) New York Giants +10/+10.5 vs. Kansas City [MP Line: NYG +3.7] Houston -1 vs. Arizona [MP Line: HOU -3.5] Dallas +4 vs. Philadelphia [MP Line: DAL +1.7] Other Plays (13.5-4-0.5 YTD, 164.5-128.5-7 lifetime) Minnesota -2 vs. LA Rams [MP Line: MIN -3.9] Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (11.5-4-0.5 YTD, 67.5-74.5-8 lifetime) Chicago…
These individual game grades reflect a team’s performance — controlling for home field and strength of opponent — through the lens of the Massey-Peabody ratings. Percentile rating is normalized relative to historical games, and expected score differential is a team’s expected margin of victory against an average team on a neutral field. # season tm week…
Big Plays (9-11-1 YTD, 124.5-102.5-7 lifetime) Cleveland +12 at Detroit [MP Line: CLE +9.2] Houston +11.5 at LA Rams [MP Line: HOU +8.6] New York Giants -2.5/-3 at San Francisco [MP Line: NYG -5.7] (uses Beathard at QB) Other Plays (11.5-4-0.5 YTD, 162.5-128.5-7 lifetime) Green Bay +5.5/+6 at Chicago [MP Line: GB +3.3] New Orleans -2.5/-3…