5-2 last week, including our Monday post on the Niners, pushing our YTD to 33-29-2 (53.2%). We were 3-1 in the WSJ, so now 19-18-1 (51.4%) YTD.
We’re still adjusting for the 4 big QB injuries. Present rankings assume Roethlisberger and Vick are out, and give Smith and Cutler a 50% chance of playing.
As always, our lines are calculated directly from our power rankings – we don’t consider non-QB injuries, weather, matchups, etc. As detailed earlier in the season, we adjust for teams coming off bye weeks (+1.5) and Thursday games (+0.75). Lines are from Bookmaker (via sbrodds.com) as of Tuesday, 11/20, 9:00pm EST. “Big Plays” are games with at least 4-point edges, while “Other Plays” are those with 2.3- to 4-point edges.
Big Plays (13-11-1 YTD)
GB (+3) at NYG [MP= -2.4]
BUF (+3) at IND [MP= -2.8]
Other Plays (20-18-1 YTD)
DAL (-3) vs WAS [MP= -5.5]
NYJ (+6.5) vs NE [MP= +4.2]
All 4 games with injured QBs are off the board right now.