Last week we went 3-4.5-0.5. The half-loss/half-push is because we graded Seattle listed as both -3/-3.5 (so like an Asian handicap), since the market was solidly between those two numbers. Here are this week’s MP lines and picks:
- New England -7.7 vs. Indianapolis
- PICK: INDIANAPOLIS +10/+10.5
- Baltimore -7.2 at Cleveland
- PICK: BALTIMORE -3
- Kansas City -1.5 vs. Jacksonville
- Tennessee -1.8 at Buffalo
- PICK: BUFFALO +4.5
- Carolina -10.7 vs. NY Giants
- PICK: CAROLINA -6.5
- NY Jets -1.1 vs. Denver
- Pittsburgh -2.7 vs. Atlanta
- Green Bay -0.5 at Detroit
- Cincinnati -4.7 vs. Miami
- LA Chargers -7.1 vs. Oakland
- San Francisco -5.7 vs. Arizona
- Philadelphia -3.4 vs. Minnesota
- LA Rams -3.0 at Seattle
- PICK: SEATTLE +7
- Houston -0.3 vs. Dallas
- PICK: DALLAS +3/+3.5
- New Orleans -4.1 vs. Washington
Note that discrepancies between the official Massey-Peabody picks and my NFL picks on the Bet The Process podcast are due to (a) time of recording of the podcast, and (b) the fact that the Massey-Peabody picks are based solely on MP model, while I consider (at least somewhat) the player-level model for the podcast picks.
2018 Record: 12-12.5-1.5 (49%)