Big Plays (6-7-1 YTD) Baltimore -3 vs. Miami [MP Line: BAL -7.0] New England -7/-7.5 vs. LA Chargers [MP Line: NE -13.0] Washington +2 vs. Dallas [MP Line: WAS -2.3] Other Plays (9-4 YTD) Philadelphia -12.5 vs. San Francisco [MP Line: PHI -15.5] Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (9.5-3-0.5 YTD) Carolina +2 at Tampa Bay…
These individual game grades reflect a team’s performance — controlling for home field and strength of opponent — through the lens of the Massey-Peabody ratings. Percentile rating is normalized relative to historical games, and expected score differential is a team’s expected margin of victory against an average team on a neutral field. # season tm week…
Our game grades are intended to allow for an apples-to-apples comparison between team performances each week. They control for home field and (expected) strength of opponent, are situationally weighted (i.e. garbage time is de-valued), and look at the statistics most predictive of future performance. In short, the grades measure how teams played in the areas of the game that…