Power Rankings

View our chart, updated weekly, showing the latest Massey-Peabody Power Rankings.

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Rankings By Week

Our weekly spreadsheet with rankings for each week of the season. Excel file available.

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NFL Futures

Playoff predictions based on our simulating the remainder of the season 10,000 times.

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NFL 2018 Blog

Divisional Lines

Here is my full ensemble of predictions, using both Massey-Peabody numbers and player model numbers, for this weekend’s games. We’ll also give our un-regressed cover probabilities, as well as cover probabilities regressing 50% to the market number. Remember that the lines we give are means, which don’t take into account the distribution. The means and…

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Wild Card Lines

Apologies for the late post. Here is my full ensemble of predictions, using both Massey-Peabody numbers and player model numbers for this weekend’s games. We’ll also give our un-regressed cover probabilities, as well as cover probabilities regressing 50% to the market number. Remember that the lines we give are means, which don’t take into account…

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2018 NFL Week 16 Picks

Last week we were a disappointing 2-4. Here are our lines and picks for the week, based on Massey-Peabody ratings, adjusting for HFA and QB injuries. It does not factor in my player-level model. Also note that these are our model lines and are not regressed to the market. Tennessee -9.6 vs. Washington LA Chargers…

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2018 NFL Week 15 Picks

We continue to hover around .500 after a 2-3 week. Here are this week’s MP lines and picks: Kansas City -3.2 vs. LA Chargers Houston -3.1 at NY Jets PICK: NY JETS +6.5 Denver -7.5 vs. Cleveland PICK: DENVER -2.5 Minnesota -6.4 vs. Miami Oakland -0.1 at Cincinnati PICK: OAKLAND +3 Baltimore -8.9 vs. Tampa…

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