2017 “Big Game” Pick
Apologies for not updating this sooner…been a crazy 10 days out in Vegas doing prop betting. Believe it or not, we do have a play–well, it’s officially going to have to be a lean, but if you can price shop, it’s good enough to be an “Other Play”. We make the Patriots a 4.7-point favorite (and give them a 65.2% chance of winning), so at standard -110 juice, Pats -3 is just a lean. But there are some books dealing -3 with reduced juice (and even plus-money), which is certainly good enough to play.
We make the game total 56, which would indicate there’s value to be had on the under (though if you like the under, I’d recommend waiting until as close to game time as possible before betting it, as the public should drive this even higher).