We won our only Big Play of the week last week, with San Diego winning outright against Denver. We split our Other Plays, as Miami won outright as a touchdown dog, the Jets were blown out in the desert, and Indianapolis blew a double-digit fourth quarter lead and lost in overtime, giving us a push. And unfortunately, both of our leans lost.
On to Week 7, where we have (by far) the most value we’ve seen this season. Note that the Massey-Peabody lines are means and not medians, and because of the ‘stickiness’ of different point values, a 2.5 point difference could be a big play in some cases, and nothing in others.
Big Plays (1-3 YTD)
- New Orleans +6 at Kansas City [MP Line: NO +3.2]
- San Diego +6.5 at Atlanta [MP Line: SD +3.4]
- San Francisco +1 vs. Tampa Bay [MP Line: SF -2.7]
Other Plays (4-6-2 YTD)
- Philadelphia +3 vs. Minnesota [MP Line: PHI +0.7]
- Pittsburgh +7/+7.5 vs. New England [MP Line: PIT +5.4]
Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (3-6 YTD)
- Green Bay -7.5 (+100 or better) vs. Chicago [MP Line: GB -10.2]
- Seattle +2 at Arizona [MP Line: SEA -0.8]
M-P True Line on Remaining Games
- New York Giants -2.5 vs. Los Angeles (in London)
- Detroit -1.3 vs. Washington
- Cincinnati -11.8 vs. Cleveland
- Buffalo -2.4 at Miami
- Jacksonville -0.4 vs. Oakland
- Tennessee -2.4 vs. Indianapolis
- New York Jets -1.1 vs. Baltimore
- Denver -7.7 vs. Houston