2017 NFL Week 9 Picks
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Big Plays (8-8-1 YTD)
- New York Jets +3 vs. Buffalo [MP Line: NYJ -0.8]
- Denver +8 at Philadelphia [MP Line: DEN +5.9] (uses Osweiler)
- New York Giants +3/+3.5 vs. LA Rams [MP Line: NYG +0.3]
- Green Bay +2.5 vs. Detroit [MP Line: GB -2.9]
Other Plays (10-4 YTD)
- Dallas Pk vs. Kansas City [MP Line: DAL -2.5]
- Miami +3/+3.5 vs. Oakland [MP Line: MIA +0.4]
Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (10.5-4-0.5 YTD)
- Arizona -2 at San Francisco [MP Line: ARI -3.7]
Our Lines on Remaining Games
- New Orleans -7.5 vs. Tampa Bay
- Jacksonville -4.5 vs. Cincinnati
- Carolina -0.3 vs. Atlanta
- Houston -12.2 vs. Indianapolis
- Tennessee -3.3 vs. Baltimore
- Seattle -6.7 vs. Washington
While we had good week on the ledger last week, we did see some adverse line movement. In the Redskins/Cowboys game, that was likely driven by changes in fundamentals — Washington had 3 starting offensive linemen inactive, and as I’ve always said, offensive linemen are way less replaceable than WRs and RBs. But we also saw the line move against us in the Patriots/Chargers game, and despite losing by 8, the Chargers were clearly the better team on Sunday. Controlling for home field and opponent strength, they graded out 11 points better than the Pats.