Cade Massey is a Professor of the Practice at the Wharton School of Business. His research is on judgment under uncertainty, including overconfidence, optimism and under- and over-reaction. He is the co-author of “The Loser’s Curse: Overconfidence vs. Market Efficiency in the NFL Draft", co-host of "Wharton Moneyball" on SiriusXM 111, and co-director of Wharton People Analytics.
Our weekly power rankings show how we predict teams will perform the rest of the year. [button url=”http://massey-peabody.com/nfl-2013-current-power-rankings/” target=”_self” size=”small” style=”coolblue” ]Current Rankings[/button]
Each week we compare the Massey-Peabody power rankings to betting lines to make picks against the spread. In 2011 we hit 55.9% of all picks, and 64.7% of our “Big Plays”. [button url=”http://massey-peabody.com/massey-peabody-blog/” target=”_self” size=”small” style=”coolblue” ]This Week’s Picks[/button]
The Wall Street Journal has published our Power Rankings weekly since 2010. In 2012 they will also carry our game predictions. [button url=”http://massey-peabody.com/massey-peabody-in-the-wall-street-journal/” target=”_self” size=”small” style=”coolblue” ]Read More[/button]
So, we’re going to scratch the PIT pick, since Roethlisberger is out with an injury. Charlie Batch in for Roethlisberger.
2-2 last week. The usual protocol this week re injuries, weather, lines, etc. And as always, “Big Plays” are games with a 4+ point edge, and “Other Plays” are games with 2-4 point edges. Getting to be a tough time of year for a system that doesn’t account for injuries — be sure to see…
3-1-1 last week, 1-0 on big picks. For detail on yearly performance, see this summary graph and/or this spreadsheet. As usual, lines are from Covers.com as of 15 minutes ago. Big Plays [18-8 YTD]: Det (+6.5) vs. GB (MP= +1.8) Other Plays [26-20-2 YTD]: Mia (+7) at Dal (MP= +3.6) SF (+3) at Bal (MP=…