Cade Massey is a Professor of the Practice at the Wharton School of Business. His research is on judgment under uncertainty, including overconfidence, optimism and under- and over-reaction. He is the co-author of “The Loser’s Curse: Overconfidence vs. Market Efficiency in the NFL Draft", co-host of "Wharton Moneyball" on SiriusXM 111, and co-director of Wharton People Analytics.

2017 NFL Wildcard Picks

  Rufus sends his greetings from Havana. He also sends our take on the weekend via text message (apparently not all communists countries are good with computers)… Finished off a dismal NFL regular season with our best week of the season (by a mile), going 5-1 on our official plays, and losing our one lean…

Playoff %s, Wildcard Round

Our projections, as we begin the playoffs: Team Div Alive Conf Alive Conf Champ SB Win NE 100.0% 87.3% 61.5% 36.6% DAL 100.0% 70.0% 41.7% 19.1% ATL 100.0% 63.3% 29.6% 13.4% KC 100.0% 61.0% 20.8% 9.9% PIT 80.1% 35.1% 12.2% 6.6% SEA 77.2% 28.9% 13.4% 6.5% GB 68.1% 24.7% 10.6% 4.8% NYG 31.9% 8.9% 3.4%…