Cade Massey is a Professor of the Practice at the Wharton School of Business. His research is on judgment under uncertainty, including overconfidence, optimism and under- and over-reaction. He is the co-author of “The Loser’s Curse: Overconfidence vs. Market Efficiency in the NFL Draft", co-host of "Wharton Moneyball" on SiriusXM 111, and co-director of Wharton People Analytics.

Projecting the Playoff Conversation (Week 11)

Our latest end-of-season projections (focusing on our “In The Conversation” metric). The aim is to project the teams we’ll be discussing as we head into the conference championships. Predictive analysts are like the grizzled old scouts in cowboy movies. Spend days on their own, working through signs, keeping track of threats too far away for the…

Projecting the Playoff Conversation (Week 9)

A quick look at our latest end-of-season projections (focusing on our “In The Conversation” metric). The aim, as always, is to project the teams we’ll be discussing as we head into the conference championships. The field held steady this week, with the same 11 teams making up the potential playoff pool. Alabama, Michigan and Clemson are…