College Football Championship Pick

Bowl Game Recap: We had an undefeated bowl season, going 5-0 on our official plays and benefitted from two amazing fourth quarter comebacks. In our lone Big Play, Michigan State (+3) rallied from a 17-point fourth-quarter deficit to beat Baylor. And on Christmas Eve, Central Michigan (+3.5) came back from down 35 in the fourth quarter to lose…

College Football Bowl Game Picks

Play criteria are the same as they have been all year. We do not consider situational factors, motivation, lame duck coaches, etc. Lines are based purely off our power ratings, adjusted for QB injuries and pace of play. Lines are Vegas Insider consensus as of 11:00am PST on Thursday, December 18.   Big Plays (16-11-1…

CFB Playoff Bracket, Final

The Massey-Peabody bracket reconciles politics and analytics, drawing on good analytics while acknowledging political reality. We begin with the traditional Massey-Peabody Power Rankings, a predictive analytics model built to identify the “best” teams. We then impose a few political constraints in order to also consider which teams are “most deserving”: 1) Every team starts the…

CFB Playoff Bracket for Dec 6

The Massey-Peabody bracket reconciles politics and analytics, drawing on good analytics while acknowledging political reality. We begin with the traditional Massey-Peabody Power Rankings, a predictive analytics model built to identify the “best” teams. We then impose a few political constraints in order to also consider which teams are “most deserving”: 1) Every team starts the…

College Football Week 15 Picks

Week 14 Recap: The penultimate week of the football season had the week’s biggest slate of games, but very little betting value, as we posted only three official plays. Our Big Plays went 2-0 on the strength of big second halves. Indiana (-2.5) came back from a 6-point halftime deficit to win by a touchdown and Arkansas State (-22.5)…

NCAA Week 14 Lines

Ohio State -19.1 vs. Michigan Boston College -11.4 vs. Syracuse Duke -20.9 vs. Wake Forest Tennessee -14.6 at Vanderbilt Wisconsin -14.5 vs. Minnesota Miami (FL) -9.2 vs. Pittsburgh Maryland -10.1 vs. Rutgers Louisiana Tech -9.3 vs. Rice North Carolina -11.0 vs. N.C. State Northwestern -7.2 vs. Illinois Indiana -11.6 vs. Purdue Texas State -11.4 at…

College Football Week 14 Picks

Week 13 Recap: Last week was the week of the “U”- acronyms. We had picks on UTSA, UCLA, UNLV, and a lean on UTEP. Our official plays–all Other Plays–went 2-1. UTSA (+9.5) was blown out 45-7 by Western Kentucky, a team we’ve been fading unsuccessfully the past few weeks. UCLA (-3.5) won convincingly over crosstown rival USC,…