College Football Week 5 Picks

Now that was the weekend we’ve been waiting for. Most of the credit goes to positive variance, but a 4-1 week is still satisfying. And on top of that, our two leans both won as well. We’ll start the recap of last week’s plays with our one Big Play. Vanderbilt looked completely out of sorts in their first three games, but due to…

College Football Week 4 Picks

Apologies for not having picks posted sooner this week. We had a server issue, but it looks like things are better now. Unfortunately, we followed up a losing Week 2 with another losing week. Our Other Plays went 1-2, while our unofficial MP Leans went 0-2. The good news is that our picks had good value relative to the…

College Football Week 3 Picks

Week 2 was a bit of a down week for our picks. Iowa State (+12), our only Big Play, was our lone bright spot, leading Kansas State most of the game before yielding two late touchdowns to lose 32-28. Nevertheless, the Cyclones covered the spread comfortably. Tennessee (-16), our first Other Play, failed to cover by a mere one…

College Football Week 2 Picks

Excellent start to the season, with a 4-0 record on our official plays. We did lose our lean on Baylor, but still very happy with our Week 1 performance. Not only did all four official picks cover, but they all won outright as underdogs of more than a touchdown! A $100 parlay of all four plays…

College Football Week 1 Picks

Before we get into the picks, let’s take a look back at our performance during the 2013 season, our first foray into college football. Big Plays: 25-14 Other Plays: 27-38-1 MP Leans: 24-25 Not a very good year by any means, but that’s how it goes sometimes. Variance can be both good and bad. We struggled…

Welcome to the 2014 Football Season!

After an eventful “offseason” (I’m not sure either Cade or I understand the concept of downtime), football is finally back! In the last six months, Cade got himself hitched to a wonderful woman, while I took advantage of my lack of commitment and backpacked for 10 weeks in southeast Asia, all while keeping up with my work. This will…

College Football Bowl Game Picks

After a week off of college football picks, it’s time to go bowling! Yes, that is yours truly in the picture. And before you criticize my two-finger technique, I did bowl a 277 that way. I know many “experts” buy into theories of motivation, letdowns, etc. when handicapping bowl games. While I’m not going to…

College Football Week 15 Picks

Last Saturday was the most exciting day of college football I can remember! There were two critical coaching decisions that have been analyzed and overanalyzed in the aftermath, and before I get to this week’s picks, I want to offer my two cents. I think Brady Hoke had the right idea when he decided to attempt…

College Football Week 14 Picks

We rebounded very nicely from a disappointing Week 12, going 8-4 overall and 4-0 on Big Plays. That runs our record on Big Plays to 21-11! As usual, I like to monitor the line moves and if the moves agree with our picks. The lines moved very strongly in our favor on our biggest plays, averaging…

College Football Week 13 Picks

Disappointing performance last weekend, going 0-1 on Big Plays, 2-5 on Other Plays, and 2-3 on MP Leans. Line moves closed a total of 5.5 points closer to our line in the 13 games, not as strong as normal, but still solid. Picks are based on Massey-Peabody ratings, and do not include injuries, weather, or matchup factors. Lines…