Rufus Peabody is a sports analyst and professional sports bettor, currently traveling the world on Remote Year. He is a 2008 graduate of Yale University, where he wrote his senior thesis on inefficiencies in the baseball betting market. Mr. Peabody was previously ESPN's 'predictive analytics expert' and many, many years ago got his start in the industry working as a statistical analyst for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

2018 NFL Week 6 Picks

Last week we went 2.5-3-0.5 (yay asian handicap!). So far this season, we’re slightly worse than a monkey flipping a coin. Here are this week’s slate, and MP picks: Philadelphia -3.2 at NY Giants PICK: PHILADELPHIA -1 Minnesota -10.2 vs. Arizona LA Chargers -4.2 at Cleveland PICK: LA CHARGERS -1 Chicago -2.9 at Miami Washington…

2018 NFL Week 5 Picks

Last week we went 3-4.5-0.5. The half-loss/half-push is because we graded Seattle listed as both -3/-3.5 (so like an Asian handicap), since the market was solidly between those two numbers. Here are this week’s MP lines and picks: New England -7.7 vs. Indianapolis PICK: INDIANAPOLIS +10/+10.5 Baltimore -7.2 at Cleveland PICK: BALTIMORE -3 Kansas City…

2018 NFL Week 4 Picks

Last week’s picks went 4-2. Here are our lines and picks for this week: LA Rams -7.8 vs. Minnesota New England -3.1 vs. Miami PICK: MIAMI +6.5/+7 Indianapolis -2.0 vs. Houston Atlanta -2.6 vs. Cincinnati Green Bay -5.6 vs. Buffalo PICK: BUFFALO +9.5 Dallas -6.1 vs. Detroit PICK: DALLAS -3 Jacksonville -4.4 vs. NY Jets…

2018 NFL Week 3 Picks

Not a lot of good news to recap last week. Our picks went 2-5, dropping us into the negative on the young season. Here are the Massey-Peabody lines for this week’s slate: Cleveland -0.9 vs. NY Jets PICK: NY JETS +3/+3.5 Philadelphia -6.2 vs. Indianapolis Carolina -3.5 vs. Cincinnati Tennessee/Jacksonville off the board due to…

2018 NFL Week 2 Picks

We got off to a solid start last week, with our picks going 3-1-1. There was some negative feedback, including from Cade himself, about switching to one category of picks. As Cade said, the hallmark of a good system is that it should do better as its edge increases. That feedback makes sense. What doesn’t…

2018 NFL Week 1 Picks

Ah, NFL season is finally here. Here at Massey-Peabody, we do what we always do and wait until July to implement all the great ideas we came up with to improve the model the previous season. While there haven’t been major changes to our regular model, we’ve been working on a way to quantify the…

2018 NFL Wild Card Picks

Big Plays (21-29-3 YTD) Tennessee +8.5 at Kansas City [MP Line: TEN +5.0] Other Plays (23.5-7-0.5 YTD) Buffalo +8.5/+9 at Jacksonville [MP Line: BUF +7.4] Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (15.5-12-1.5 YTD) Carolina +6.5 at New Orleans [MP Line: CAR +4.8] In the one remaining game, we make the LA Rams a 6.4-point favorite hosting…