Rufus Peabody is a sports analyst and professional sports bettor, currently traveling the world on Remote Year. He is a 2008 graduate of Yale University, where he wrote his senior thesis on inefficiencies in the baseball betting market. Mr. Peabody was previously ESPN's 'predictive analytics expert' and many, many years ago got his start in the industry working as a statistical analyst for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

College Football Week 14 Picks

We rebounded very nicely from a disappointing Week 12, going 8-4 overall and 4-0 on Big Plays. That runs our record on Big Plays to 21-11! As usual, I like to monitor the line moves and if the moves agree with our picks. The lines moved very strongly in our favor on our biggest plays, averaging…

NFL Week 12 Picks

We had a decent performance last week, going 0-1 on Big Plays, 2-0 on Other Plays, and 1-1-1 on Break-Even or Better selections. There was a lot of line movement on games we picked: Green Bay, our big selection, moved from +6 all the way to +3, Arizona moved from -6.5 to -9.5, and Carolina moved from -2.5…

College Football Week 13 Picks

Disappointing performance last weekend, going 0-1 on Big Plays, 2-5 on Other Plays, and 2-3 on MP Leans. Line moves closed a total of 5.5 points closer to our line in the 13 games, not as strong as normal, but still solid. Picks are based on Massey-Peabody ratings, and do not include injuries, weather, or matchup factors. Lines…

College Football Week 12 Picks

We continued our mid-season surge last weekend, sweeping both our Big Plays (2-0) and Other Plays (2-0). We didn’t just win, we WON. Stanford blew out Oregon as a 10-point dog, New Mexico entertained thoughts of an upset as a 24.5-point dog before finally succumbing to Boston College by 14, and Syracuse won by 17 as a…

NFL Week 9 Picks

Another solid week for our NFL picks, and would’ve been even better if not for my brain fart with Jacksonville playing in London (and not at home). Still, Big Plays went 2-1, Other Plays went 2-1, and our one Break-Even or Better pick won. For the year, we are now 27-18-1 (60%) on our picks, and 32-22-1…

College Football Week 10 Picks

We continued our recent streak of dominance last week, going 2-0 on Big Plays, 3-0-1 on Other Plays, and 2-1 on MP Leans.  After our dreadful start, this means we have fought back to the 50% mark for all picks. I’ve gotten some questions recently about what the threshold is for the different pick categories. The quick-and-easy answer:…

NFL Week 8 Picks

A very big weekend for Massey-Peabody NFL picks in Week 7.  Our lone Big Play, won handily.  Our Other Plays swept, going 5-0, with both the Jets and Colts winning outright as underdogs, and Houston losing by one point.  Our new category, Break-Even or Better–picks we expect will (barely) cover the vig, but are not strong enough for us…

College Football Week 9 Picks

Posting picks 12 hours earlier this week, since I won’t be available tomorrow.  Last week, we didn’t have any Big Plays, but our Other Plays went 2-1, while MP Leans went 2-3.  More importantly, all but one pick moved our way.  Louisiana Tech moved from +6.5 to +3.5, Michigan from -7.5 to -8.5, Colorado State from +7 to +6.5,…

College Football Week 8 Picks

Won our lone Big Play last week, with Kansas State playing Baylor close.  Split the remaining picks, going 1-1 on Other Plays and MP Leans.  If we had included Texas, which should have been a Big Play but Cade vetoed, we would have had an additional win.  As a result of Texas’s win, we are now Peabody-Massey Analytics for…