2018 NFL Week 2 Picks

We got off to a solid start last week, with our picks going 3-1-1. There was some negative feedback, including from Cade himself, about switching to one category of picks. As Cade said, the hallmark of a good system is that it should do better as its edge increases. That feedback makes sense. What doesn’t…

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2018 NFL Week 1 Picks

Ah, NFL season is finally here. Here at Massey-Peabody, we do what we always do and wait until July to implement all the great ideas we came up with to improve the model the previous season. While there haven’t been major changes to our regular model, we’ve been working on a way to quantify the…

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Week 0!

Some quick notes on the two all-FBS games today… Hawaii is in Fort Collins to play CSU at 7:30pm ET.  We make Hawaii #127 (!) in the country at -24.26. That’s a 7-spot drop from where they ended last year. We have their offense and defense equally bad (125 & 128). Meantime Colorado State checks…

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2018 NFL Wild Card Picks

Big Plays (21-29-3 YTD) Tennessee +8.5 at Kansas City [MP Line: TEN +5.0] Other Plays (23.5-7-0.5 YTD) Buffalo +8.5/+9 at Jacksonville [MP Line: BUF +7.4] Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (15.5-12-1.5 YTD) Carolina +6.5 at New Orleans [MP Line: CAR +4.8] In the one remaining game, we make the LA Rams a 6.4-point favorite hosting…

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2017 NFL Week 17 Picks

It’s the final week of the regular season, and an unusually large number of playoff-bound teams have little to no incentive to win. Two teams (Kansas City and the LA Rams) have announced that they will be resting their key starters, which makes a lot of sense given their position and that they won’t have…

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2017 NFL Week 16 Picks

Big Plays (17-23-2 YTD, 132.5-114.5-8 lifetime) Green Bay +9 vs. Minnesota [MP Line: GB +5.9] Cincinnati +3.5/+4 vs. Detroit [MP Line: CIN -2.1] NY Jets +7 vs. LA Chargers [MP Line: NYJ +4.5] Tennessee +6.5/+7 vs. LA Rams [MP Line: TEN +3.5] New England -11 vs. Buffalo [MP Line: NE -15.5] NY Giants +4 at…

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