2016 NFL Week 10 Picks

Not much to recap from last week (except my trip to Ecuador, which I won’t bore you with here). Our one and only play of the week (San Francisco) was blown out by New Orleans. I wrote a piece for ESPN this week with betting-related takeaways from the first half of the season. It’s been a…

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Projecting the Playoff Conversation (Week 11)

Our latest end-of-season projections (focusing on our “In The Conversation” metric). The aim is to project the teams we’ll be discussing as we head into the conference championships. Predictive analysts are like the grizzled old scouts in cowboy movies. Spend days on their own, working through signs, keeping track of threats too far away for the…

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2016 NFL Week 9 Picks

A solid week for our official plays last week, with both of our Big Plays winning and our Other Plays going 1-1. Unfortunately, all three of our leans lost. Didn’t get to watch any of the games, as I’m on a mindfulness retreat (with 25 of my new best friends!) in Ecuador, but I’m still running the…

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Projecting the Playoff Conversation (Week 10)

A quick look at our latest end-of-season projections (focusing on our “In The Conversation” metric). The aim, as always, is to project the teams we’ll be discussing as we head into the conference championships. Remember when the playoff committee released their initial rankings in 2014 – the first ever – leading with Mississippi State as…

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Projecting the Playoff Conversation (Week 9)

A quick look at our latest end-of-season projections (focusing on our “In The Conversation” metric). The aim, as always, is to project the teams we’ll be discussing as we head into the conference championships. The field held steady this week, with the same 11 teams making up the potential playoff pool. Alabama, Michigan and Clemson are…

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2016 NFL Week 8 Picks

Last week was basically a wash, with our Big Plays going 1-1-1 (2-1 if you were able to get the Saints at +6.5 instead of +6), Other Plays 1-1, and both leans won. Here’s what we have for this week:   Big Plays: (2-4-1 YTD) Tennessee -3 +100 vs. Jacksonville [MP Line: TEN -5.6] Green Bay +3 at Atlanta [MP…

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2016 NFL Week 7 Picks

We won our only Big Play of the week last week, with San Diego winning outright against Denver. We split our Other Plays, as Miami won outright as a touchdown dog, the Jets were blown out in the desert, and Indianapolis blew a double-digit fourth quarter lead and lost in overtime, giving us a push. And unfortunately, both of…

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2016 NFL Week 6 Picks

Big Plays (1-3 YTD) none this weekend Other Plays (3-5-1 YTD) Miami +7/+7.5 vs. Pittsburgh [MP Line: MIA +5.4] Indianapolis +3 at Houston [MP Line: IND +0.6] New York Jets +7.5 at Arizona [MP Line: NYJ +5.6] Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (3-4 YTD) Seattle -6.5 vs. Atlanta [MP Line: SEA -8.8] Green Bay -4…

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