CFB Week 8 Game Grades

Our game grades are intended to allow for an apples-to-apples comparison between team performances each week. They control for home field and (expected) strength of opponent, are situationally weighted (i.e. garbage time is de-valued), and look at the statistics most predictive of future performance. In short, the grades measure how teams played in the areas of the game that…

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2017 NFL Week 7 Picks

Big Plays (6-4-1 YTD) Green Bay +5.5 vs. New Orleans [MP Line: GB +2.6] Arizona +3/+3.5 vs. LA Rams [MP Line: LAR -0.5] (in London) New York Giants +5.5 vs. Seattle [MP Line: SEA -0.8] Other Plays (9-3 YTD) Baltimore +5.5/+6 at Minnesota [MP Line: BAL +3.8] (using Keenum at QB) Break-Even or Better (unofficial…

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NFL Week 6 Game Grades

These individual game grades reflect a team’s performance — controlling for home field and strength of opponent — through the lens of the Massey-Peabody ratings. Percentile rating is normalized relative to historical games, and expected score differential is a team’s expected margin of victory against an average team on a neutral field. # season tm week…

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CFB Week 7 Game Grades

Our game grades are intended to allow for an apples-to-apples comparison between team performances each week. They control for home field and (expected) strength of opponent, are situationally weighted (i.e. garbage time is de-valued), and look at the statistics most predictive of future performance. In short, the grades measure how teams played in the areas of the game that…

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2017 NFL Week 6 Picks

Big Plays (4-3-1) Minnesota +3 vs. Green Bay [MP Line: MIN -1.3 w/ Bradford, +1.3 w/ Keenum] Washington -10 vs. San Francisco [MP Line: WAS -14.4] NY Giants +11.5 at Denver [MP Line: NYG +4.3] Other Plays (9-3 YTD) none this week Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (6.5-3-0.5 YTD) Philadelphia +3.5 at Carolina [MP Line:…

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NFL Week 5 Grades

These individual game grades reflect a team’s performance — controlling for home field and strength of opponent — through the lens of the Massey-Peabody ratings. Percentile rating is normalized relative to historical games, and expected score differential is a team’s expected margin of victory against an average team on a neutral field.   # season tm…

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CFB Week 6 Game Grades

Our game grades are intended to allow for an apples-to-apples comparison between team performances each week. They control for home field and (expected) strength of opponent, are situationally weighted (i.e. garbage time is de-valued), and look at the statistics most predictive of future performance. In short, the grades measure how teams played in the areas of the game that…

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2017 NFL Week 5 Picks

Big Plays (3-3-1 YTD) Cincinnati -3 vs. Buffalo [MP Line: CIN -6.5] Other Plays (7-2 YTD) New York Giants -3/-3.5 vs. LA Chargers [MP Line: NYG -6.6] Carolina +2.5 at Detroit [MP Line: CAR -1.3] Green Bay +2.5 at Dallas [MP Line: GB -1.3] Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (4.5-2-0.5 YTD) Indianapolis -1.5 vs. San…

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