NFL Week 12 Picks

Week 11 Recap: Week 11 was tough on a number of levels. We finished with a 1-2 record on official plays, and a 1-1 record on Break-Even or Better selections. That doesn’t tell the full story though. We whiffed pretty badly on the Washington (-7) pick, as the dysfunctional Dead Skins lost to Tampa Bay at home…

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College Football Week 13 Picks

Week 12 Recap Last weekend’s results were disappointing, with our official plays going 3-5. Our Big Plays split, with LSU (+2) looking awful offensively in a shutout loss at Arkansas. Maybe it was a letdown game after the ‘Bama loss. For whatever reason, they did not play like the LSU team we had been seeing this season. Hawaii (+10.5)…

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NCAA Week 13/NFL Week 12 Early Lines

Here are our lines for the Wednesday and Thursday games: Wednesday Buffalo -9.1 vs. Kent State Toledo -12.5 vs. Bowling Green Thursday Kansas State -1.0 at West Virginia Duke -8.5 vs. North Carolina Arkansas State -6.5 at Texas State NFL: Kansas City -10.0 at Oakland Picks: No “official” picks for any of the games, but…

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CFB Playoff Bracket for Nov 22

The Massey-Peabody bracket reconciles politics and analytics, drawing on good analytics while acknowledging political reality. We begin with the traditional Massey-Peabody Power Rankings, a predictive analytics model built to identify the “best” teams. We then impose a few political constraints in order to also consider which teams are “most deserving”: 1) Every team starts the…

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College Football Week 12 Lines

Here’s the full list of Massey-Peabody lines for the weekend’s games: North Carolina -3.8 vs. Pittsburgh N.C. State -12.9 vs. Wake Forest Penn State -9.5 vs. Temple Ohio State -16.4 at Minnesota Iowa -3.0 at Illinois Western Kentucky -6.0 vs. Army Western Michigan -23.6 vs. Eastern Michigan Wisconsin -6.9 vs. Nebraska Tennessee -12.5 vs. Kentucky…

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NFL Week 11 Picks

Week 10 Recap: Excellent week for our picks last week, going 3-1. Our one loss was Miami (+2.5/+3), which fell victim to a go-ahead Detroit touchdown in the final minute. Atlanta (-2.5) was a 27-17 winner over Tampa Bay as our second Big Play. For our Other Plays, Baltimore (-9.5) fell behind early, but ended up winning by…

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College Football Week 12 Picks

Week 11 Recap: Coming off of a solid Week 11. We split our Big Plays: Florida State (-19.5) started slow (again) and failed to cover, while Texas (+3.5) was dominant in a 17-point win over favorite West Virginia. Our Other Plays did much better, going 3-1. Indiana (+6.5) turned the ball over deep in their own territory in the last…

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CFB Bracket for Nov 15

The Massey-Peabody bracket reconciles politics and analytics, leaning on good analytics while acknowledging political reality. We begin with the traditional Massey-Peabody Power Rankings, a predictive analytics model built to identify the “best” teams. We then impose a few political constraints in order to also consider which teams are “most deserving”: 1) Every team starts the…

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