2017 NFL Week 15 Picks

Big Plays (15-21 YTD, 130.5-114.5-7 lifetime) Kansas City +1 vs. LA Chargers [MP Line: KC -3.4] Houston +11 at Jacksonville [MP Line: HOU +7.1] Baltimore -7 at Cleveland [MP Line: BAL -11.3] Tennessee +2 at San Francisco [MP Line: TEN -6.6] Other Plays (20.5-5-0.5 YTD, 171.5-129.5-7 lifetime) Cincinnati +10.5 at Minnesota [MP Line: CIN +8.5]…

Details

2017 NFL Week 14 Picks

Big Plays (15-17-1 YTD, 130.5-109.5-7 lifetime) Cincinnati -6 vs. Chicago [MP Line: CIN -10.0] Houston -2.5/-3 vs. San Francisco [MP Line: HOU -7.3] Washington +6 at LA Chargers [MP Line: WAS +2.7] NY Giants +4 vs. Dallas [MP Line: NYG +0.8] Other Plays (18.5-4-0.5 YTD, 169.5-128.5-7 lifetime) Seattle +2.5 at Jacksonville [MP Line: SEA -0.7]…

Details

NFL Week 13 Game Grades

These individual game grades reflect a team’s performance — controlling for home field and strength of opponent — through the lens of the Massey-Peabody ratings. Percentile rating is normalized relative to historical games, and expected score differential is a team’s expected margin of victory against an average team on a neutral field. # season tm week…

Details

2017 NFL Week 13 Picks

Big Plays (12-17-1 YTD, 127.5-108.5-7 lifetime) Arizona +7 vs. LA Rams [MP Line: ARI +3.7] NY Giants +9 at Oakland [MP Line: NYG +2.5] Seattle +6 vs. Philadelphia [MP Line: SEA -0.6] Cincinnati +5/+5.5 vs. Pittsburgh [MP Line: CIN +1.6] Other Plays (15.5-4-0.5 YTD, 166.5-128.5-7 lifetime) Dallas +1.5 vs. Washington [MP Line: DAL -1.8] Baltimore…

Details

2017 NFL Week 12 Picks

Happy Thanksgiving, everyone! Thankful for being able to do something I love (sports analytics) for a living, for more than seven years of professional collaboration with Cade, and for you — our audience — who think we have something worthwhile to contribute. Big Plays (11-15-1 YTD, 126.5-106.5-7 lifetime) Dallas +2 vs. LA Chargers [MP Line:…

Details

2017 NFL Week 11 Picks

Big Plays (9-14-1 YTD, 124.5-105.5-7 lifetime) New York Giants +10/+10.5 vs. Kansas City [MP Line: NYG +3.7] Houston -1 vs. Arizona [MP Line: HOU -3.5] Dallas +4 vs. Philadelphia [MP Line: DAL +1.7] Other Plays (13.5-4-0.5 YTD, 164.5-128.5-7 lifetime) Minnesota -2 vs. LA Rams [MP Line: MIN -3.9] Break-Even or Better (unofficial leans) (11.5-4-0.5 YTD, 67.5-74.5-8 lifetime) Chicago…

Details

NFL Week 10 Game Grades

These individual game grades reflect a team’s performance — controlling for home field and strength of opponent — through the lens of the Massey-Peabody ratings. Percentile rating is normalized relative to historical games, and expected score differential is a team’s expected margin of victory against an average team on a neutral field. # season tm week…

Details

CFB Week 11 Grades

Our game grades are intended to allow for an apples-to-apples comparison between team performances each week. They control for home field and (expected) strength of opponent, are situationally weighted (i.e. garbage time is de-valued), and look at the statistics most predictive of future performance. In short, the grades measure how teams played in the areas of the game that…

Details

2017 NFL Week 10 Picks

Big Plays (9-11-1 YTD, 124.5-102.5-7 lifetime) Cleveland +12 at Detroit [MP Line: CLE +9.2] Houston +11.5 at LA Rams [MP Line: HOU +8.6] New York Giants -2.5/-3 at San Francisco [MP Line: NYG -5.7] (uses Beathard at QB) Other Plays (11.5-4-0.5 YTD, 162.5-128.5-7 lifetime) Green Bay +5.5/+6 at Chicago [MP Line: GB +3.3] New Orleans -2.5/-3…

Details

NFL Week 9 Game Grades

These individual game grades reflect a team’s performance — controlling for home field and strength of opponent — through the lens of the Massey-Peabody ratings. Percentile rating is normalized relative to historical games, and expected score differential is a team’s expected margin of victory against an average team on a neutral field. # season tm week…

Details