NCAA Week 13/NFL Week 12 Early Lines

Here are our lines for the Wednesday and Thursday games: Wednesday Buffalo -9.1 vs. Kent State Toledo -12.5 vs. Bowling Green Thursday Kansas State -1.0 at West Virginia Duke -8.5 vs. North Carolina Arkansas State -6.5 at Texas State NFL: Kansas City -10.0 at Oakland Picks: No “official” picks for any of the games, but…

Details

CFB Playoff Bracket for Nov 22

The Massey-Peabody bracket reconciles politics and analytics, drawing on good analytics while acknowledging political reality. We begin with the traditional Massey-Peabody Power Rankings, a predictive analytics model built to identify the “best” teams. We then impose a few political constraints in order to also consider which teams are “most deserving”: 1) Every team starts the…

Details

College Football Week 12 Lines

Here’s the full list of Massey-Peabody lines for the weekend’s games: North Carolina -3.8 vs. Pittsburgh N.C. State -12.9 vs. Wake Forest Penn State -9.5 vs. Temple Ohio State -16.4 at Minnesota Iowa -3.0 at Illinois Western Kentucky -6.0 vs. Army Western Michigan -23.6 vs. Eastern Michigan Wisconsin -6.9 vs. Nebraska Tennessee -12.5 vs. Kentucky…

Details

NFL Week 11 Picks

Week 10 Recap: Excellent week for our picks last week, going 3-1. Our one loss was Miami (+2.5/+3), which fell victim to a go-ahead Detroit touchdown in the final minute. Atlanta (-2.5) was a 27-17 winner over Tampa Bay as our second Big Play. For our Other Plays, Baltimore (-9.5) fell behind early, but ended up winning by…

Details

College Football Week 12 Picks

Week 11 Recap: Coming off of a solid Week 11. We split our Big Plays: Florida State (-19.5) started slow (again) and failed to cover, while Texas (+3.5) was dominant in a 17-point win over favorite West Virginia. Our Other Plays did much better, going 3-1. Indiana (+6.5) turned the ball over deep in their own territory in the last…

Details

CFB Bracket for Nov 15

The Massey-Peabody bracket reconciles politics and analytics, leaning on good analytics while acknowledging political reality. We begin with the traditional Massey-Peabody Power Rankings, a predictive analytics model built to identify the “best” teams. We then impose a few political constraints in order to also consider which teams are “most deserving”: 1) Every team starts the…

Details

CFB Week 11 Lines

Figured I’d post a full set of lines, for anyone who’s interested. I’m including all Week 11 games, including those that have been played and those that have already started. Akron -3 vs. Bowling Green Toledo -10.9 at Kent State Ohio -1.9 vs. Buffalo Northern Illinois -4.6 at Ball State Clemson -23.5 at Wake Forest…

Details

Week 10 NFL Picks

Week 9 Recap: A small-volume, losing week in the NFL last week (1-2). We were on the right side of one of the two blowouts, and on the wrong side of the one close game. Miami (-1.5) surprised everyone in how thoroughly they dominated the San Diego, winning 37-0. As much as I’d like to say ‘yeah, we…

Details